Levi Strauss Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LEVI Stock  USD 17.11  0.79  4.84%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Levi Strauss Co on the next trading day is expected to be 16.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.20. Levi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Levi Strauss' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to decrease to 3.98. The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 9.59. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 420.9 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 337.6 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Levi Strauss is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Levi Strauss Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Levi Strauss Co on the next trading day is expected to be 16.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Levi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Levi Strauss' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Levi Strauss Stock Forecast Pattern

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Levi Strauss Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Levi Strauss' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Levi Strauss' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.98 and 18.45, respectively. We have considered Levi Strauss' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.11
16.71
Expected Value
18.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Levi Strauss stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Levi Strauss stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7398
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0569
MADMean absolute deviation0.3084
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors18.195
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Levi Strauss Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Levi Strauss. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Levi Strauss

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Levi Strauss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Levi Strauss' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4616.2017.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0516.7918.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.6516.4717.29
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.6316.0817.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Levi Strauss

For every potential investor in Levi, whether a beginner or expert, Levi Strauss' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Levi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Levi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Levi Strauss' price trends.

Levi Strauss Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Levi Strauss stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Levi Strauss could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Levi Strauss by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Levi Strauss Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Levi Strauss' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Levi Strauss' current price.

Levi Strauss Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Levi Strauss stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Levi Strauss shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Levi Strauss stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Levi Strauss Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Levi Strauss Risk Indicators

The analysis of Levi Strauss' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Levi Strauss' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting levi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Levi Strauss offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Levi Strauss' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Levi Strauss Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Levi Strauss Co Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Levi Strauss to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Levi Strauss. If investors know Levi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Levi Strauss listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.5
Dividend Share
0.49
Earnings Share
0.38
Revenue Per Share
15.454
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.004
The market value of Levi Strauss is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Levi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Levi Strauss' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Levi Strauss' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Levi Strauss' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Levi Strauss' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Levi Strauss' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Levi Strauss is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Levi Strauss' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.