LeMaitre Vascular Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LMAT Stock  USD 105.43  1.66  1.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of LeMaitre Vascular on the next trading day is expected to be 101.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.16. LeMaitre Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, LeMaitre Vascular's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.92 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 14.08 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 24.9 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 17.3 M in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the LeMaitre Vascular's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2004-12-31
Previous Quarter
22.3 M
Current Value
21 M
Quarterly Volatility
7.6 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for LeMaitre Vascular is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of LeMaitre Vascular value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

LeMaitre Vascular Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of LeMaitre Vascular on the next trading day is expected to be 101.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64, mean absolute percentage error of 4.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LeMaitre Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LeMaitre Vascular's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LeMaitre Vascular Stock Forecast Pattern

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LeMaitre Vascular Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LeMaitre Vascular's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LeMaitre Vascular's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100.13 and 103.80, respectively. We have considered LeMaitre Vascular's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
105.43
100.13
Downside
101.96
Expected Value
103.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LeMaitre Vascular stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LeMaitre Vascular stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5759
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.6419
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0174
SAESum of the absolute errors100.158
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of LeMaitre Vascular. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict LeMaitre Vascular. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for LeMaitre Vascular

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LeMaitre Vascular. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.07106.89108.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.1371.95117.80
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.7567.8675.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.480.490.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LeMaitre Vascular. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LeMaitre Vascular's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LeMaitre Vascular's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LeMaitre Vascular.

Other Forecasting Options for LeMaitre Vascular

For every potential investor in LeMaitre, whether a beginner or expert, LeMaitre Vascular's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LeMaitre Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LeMaitre. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LeMaitre Vascular's price trends.

LeMaitre Vascular Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LeMaitre Vascular stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LeMaitre Vascular could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LeMaitre Vascular by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LeMaitre Vascular Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LeMaitre Vascular's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LeMaitre Vascular's current price.

LeMaitre Vascular Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LeMaitre Vascular stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LeMaitre Vascular shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LeMaitre Vascular stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LeMaitre Vascular entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LeMaitre Vascular Risk Indicators

The analysis of LeMaitre Vascular's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LeMaitre Vascular's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lemaitre stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for LeMaitre Stock Analysis

When running LeMaitre Vascular's price analysis, check to measure LeMaitre Vascular's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LeMaitre Vascular is operating at the current time. Most of LeMaitre Vascular's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LeMaitre Vascular's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LeMaitre Vascular's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LeMaitre Vascular to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.