Cheniere Energy Stock Price Prediction

LNG Stock  USD 224.27  5.93  2.58%   
As of 31st of January 2025 The value of relative strength index of Cheniere Energy's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

87

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cheniere Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cheniere Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cheniere Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cheniere Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cheniere Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.4
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.9901
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.8736
Wall Street Target Price
243.3044
Using Cheniere Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cheniere Energy from the perspective of Cheniere Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cheniere Energy using Cheniere Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cheniere using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cheniere Energy's stock price.

Cheniere Energy Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Cheniere Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cheniere. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cheniere Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
186.5442
Short Percent
0.0176
Short Ratio
2.41
Shares Short Prior Month
3.7 M
50 Day MA
222.0874

Cheniere Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cheniere Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cheniere. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cheniere can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cheniere Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cheniere Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cheniere Energy.

Cheniere Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.44  
Cheniere Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cheniere Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cheniere Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cheniere Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cheniere Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cheniere Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cheniere because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cheniere Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 230.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cheniere contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cheniere Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Cheniere Energy trading at USD 224.27, that is roughly USD 0.0617 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cheniere Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cheniere Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Cheniere Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
207.18265.84267.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
206.30208.15210.01
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
213.35234.45260.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.422.753.20
Details

Cheniere Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cheniere Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheniere Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheniere Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cheniere Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cheniere Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheniere Energy's historical news coverage. Cheniere Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 228.35 and 232.05, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
224.27
228.35
Downside
230.20
After-hype Price
232.05
Upside
Cheniere Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cheniere Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cheniere Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheniere Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheniere Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheniere Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
1.85
  1.32 
  0.05 
12 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
224.27
230.20
0.00 
49.20  
Notes

Cheniere Energy Hype Timeline

On the 31st of January Cheniere Energy is traded for 224.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Cheniere is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 49.2%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cheniere Energy is about 1259.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 224.22. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.6. Cheniere Energy recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 25th of April 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Cheniere Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.

Cheniere Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cheniere Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheniere Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheniere Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheniere Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HEPHolly Energy Partners(0.07)2 per month 1.08  0.1  2.21 (1.97) 4.89 
WESWestern Midstream Partners(0.20)10 per month 1.42  0.07  2.73 (2.50) 6.11 
DCPDCP Midstream LP(0.47)10 per month 0.00 (0.71) 0.22 (0.15) 0.53 
CEQPCrestwood Equity Partners 0.00 0 per month 1.19  0.11  3.48 (2.49) 11.57 
WMBWilliams Companies 0.36 10 per month 2.02  0.02  2.52 (3.13) 12.72 
EPDEnterprise Products Partners(0.57)6 per month 0.75  0.16  2.29 (1.51) 5.09 
OKEONEOK Inc(1.88)10 per month 1.76 (0.02) 2.90 (3.56) 8.37 
ETEnergy Transfer LP(0.08)8 per month 1.22  0.20  3.06 (2.18) 9.67 
ENBEnbridge(0.13)8 per month 0.75  0.05  1.62 (1.40) 4.33 
LPGDorian LPG(0.21)10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.89 (3.71) 10.86 
GLNGGolar LNG Limited 0.29 8 per month 1.77  0.02  3.59 (3.77) 15.90 
STNGScorpio Tankers 0.09 10 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.23 (3.09) 19.16 
FROFrontline 0.30 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.21 (5.39) 17.89 
TNPTNP Old(0.52)6 per month 1.46  0.07  3.12 (2.57) 9.04 
TNKTeekay Tankers(0.03)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.21 (3.22) 13.49 
FLNGFLEX LNG(0.71)9 per month 2.27  0  3.34 (3.70) 10.48 
MMPMagellan Midstream Partners 0.57 1 per month 0.71  0.09  1.95 (1.58) 15.46 
KMIKinder Morgan 0.05 7 per month 1.86  0.06  2.59 (2.41) 15.92 
MPLXMPLX LP 0.42 11 per month 0.90  0.17  2.47 (1.86) 5.25 

Cheniere Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cheniere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheniere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheniere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cheniere Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cheniere Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cheniere Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cheniere Energy based on analysis of Cheniere Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cheniere Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cheniere Energy's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0092680.0094890.01090.0104
Price To Sales Ratio1.132.032.342.22

Story Coverage note for Cheniere Energy

The number of cover stories for Cheniere Energy depends on current market conditions and Cheniere Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheniere Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheniere Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cheniere Energy Short Properties

Cheniere Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cheniere Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cheniere Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cheniere Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheniere Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding242.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.1 B

Complementary Tools for Cheniere Stock analysis

When running Cheniere Energy's price analysis, check to measure Cheniere Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheniere Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Cheniere Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheniere Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheniere Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheniere Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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