Live Oak Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LOB Stock | USD 47.40 0.79 1.64% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Live Oak Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 45.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.06. Live Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Live Oak stock prices and determine the direction of Live Oak Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Live Oak's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Live Oak Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Live Oak's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2013-12-31 | Previous Quarter 615.7 M | Current Value 666.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 243.5 M |
Live Oak Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Live Oak Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 45.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.89, mean absolute percentage error of 5.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Live Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Live Oak's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Live Oak Stock Forecast Pattern
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Live Oak Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Live Oak's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Live Oak's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.56 and 49.31, respectively. We have considered Live Oak's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Live Oak stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Live Oak stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7526 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8863 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0415 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 115.0645 |
Predictive Modules for Live Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Live Oak Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Live Oak
For every potential investor in Live, whether a beginner or expert, Live Oak's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Live Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Live. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Live Oak's price trends.Live Oak Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Live Oak stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Live Oak could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Live Oak by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Live Oak Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Live Oak's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Live Oak's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Live Oak Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Live Oak stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Live Oak shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Live Oak stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Live Oak Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Live Oak Risk Indicators
The analysis of Live Oak's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Live Oak's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting live stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Variance | 11.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Live Oak Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Live Oak's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Live Oak Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Live Oak Bancshares Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Live Oak to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Live Oak. If investors know Live will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Live Oak listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 1.84 | Revenue Per Share 9.05 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) |
The market value of Live Oak Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Live that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Live Oak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Live Oak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Live Oak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Live Oak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Live Oak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Live Oak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Live Oak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.