Live Oak Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| LOB Stock | USD 39.96 0.46 1.16% |
Live Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Live Oak stock prices and determine the direction of Live Oak Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Live Oak's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Live Oak's stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Live, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.479 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.98 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.15 | Wall Street Target Price 45.25 |
Using Live Oak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Live Oak Bancshares from the perspective of Live Oak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Live Oak using Live Oak's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Live using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Live Oak's stock price.
Live Oak Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Live Oak's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Live. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Live Oak stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 32.6244 | Short Percent 0.0644 | Short Ratio 6.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 35.202 |
Live Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Live Oak Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 39.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.55.Live Oak Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Live Oak's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Live. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Live can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Live Oak Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Live Oak's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Live Oak.
Live Oak Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Live Oak's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Live Oak Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Live Oak's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Live Oak stock will not fluctuate a lot when Live Oak's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Live Oak Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 39.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.55. Live Oak after-hype prediction price | USD 39.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Live Oak to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Live contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Live Oak Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Live Oak trading at USD 39.96, that is roughly USD 0.0202 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Live Oak's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Live Oak Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Live Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Live Oak's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Live Oak's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Live Oak stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Live Oak's open interest, investors have to compare it to Live Oak's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Live Oak is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Live. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Live Oak Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Live price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Live using various technical indicators. When you analyze Live charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Live Oak Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Live Oak Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 39.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Live Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Live Oak's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Live Oak Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Live Oak | Live Oak Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Live Oak Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Live Oak's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Live Oak's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.67 and 42.25, respectively. We have considered Live Oak's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Live Oak stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Live Oak stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1901 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.214 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6704 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.555 |
Predictive Modules for Live Oak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Live Oak Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Live Oak After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Live Oak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Live Oak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Live Oak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Live Oak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Live Oak's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Live Oak's historical news coverage. Live Oak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.68 and 42.24, respectively. We have considered Live Oak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Live Oak is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Live Oak Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Live Oak Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Live Oak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Live Oak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Live Oak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.29 | 0.91 | 0.27 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.96 | 39.96 | 0.00 |
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Live Oak Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Live Oak Bancshares is traded for 39.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.91, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. Live is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 110.63%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Live Oak is about 373.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.23. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.58. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Live Oak Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Live Oak to cross-verify your projections.Live Oak Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Live Oak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Live Oak's future price movements. Getting to know how Live Oak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Live Oak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCBK | TriCo Bancshares | 1.67 | 6 per month | 1.03 | 0.12 | 3.41 | (1.67) | 7.18 | |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial | 1.96 | 5 per month | 1.28 | 0 | 3.46 | (2.49) | 7.37 | |
| GABC | German American Bancorp | 0.81 | 11 per month | 1.27 | 0.05 | 3.31 | (2.78) | 7.83 | |
| STEL | Stellar Bancorp | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.16 | 2.67 | (1.75) | 10.35 | |
| STBA | ST Bancorp | 0.90 | 6 per month | 1.37 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (2.81) | 9.17 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | 0.50 | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.14 | 4.14 | (2.97) | 8.63 | |
| SRCE | 1st Source | 0.37 | 7 per month | 0.94 | 0.12 | 2.22 | (2.03) | 5.76 | |
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings | 0.53 | 2 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 2.85 | (2.64) | 9.76 | |
| HOPE | Hope Bancorp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.09 | 3.37 | (2.51) | 9.64 | |
| FRME | First Merchants | (0.71) | 19 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 2.80 | (1.59) | 8.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Live Oak
For every potential investor in Live, whether a beginner or expert, Live Oak's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Live Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Live. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Live Oak's price trends.Live Oak Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Live Oak stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Live Oak could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Live Oak by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Live Oak Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Live Oak stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Live Oak shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Live Oak stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Live Oak Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Live Oak Risk Indicators
The analysis of Live Oak's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Live Oak's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting live stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Live Oak
The number of cover stories for Live Oak depends on current market conditions and Live Oak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Live Oak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Live Oak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Live Oak to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Live Oak. Expected growth trajectory for Live significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Live Oak assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.479 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 2.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.617 |
Investors evaluate Live Oak Bancshares using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Live Oak's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Live Oak's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Live Oak's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Live Oak represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Live Oak's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.