Comstock Mining Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LODE Stock | USD 3.53 0.07 1.94% |
Comstock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Comstock Mining stock prices and determine the direction of Comstock Mining's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Comstock Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Comstock Mining's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Comstock Mining, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 26.933 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.83) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.32) | Wall Street Target Price 5.375 |
Using Comstock Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comstock Mining from the perspective of Comstock Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Comstock Mining using Comstock Mining's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Comstock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Comstock Mining's stock price.
Comstock Mining Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Comstock Mining's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Comstock. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Comstock Mining stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.2101 | Short Percent 0.0336 | Short Ratio 1.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 3.6434 |
Comstock Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Comstock Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 3.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.01.Comstock Mining Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Comstock Mining's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comstock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comstock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comstock Mining. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comstock Mining's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comstock Mining.
Comstock Mining Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Comstock Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comstock Mining stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comstock Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comstock Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comstock Mining's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Comstock Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 3.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.01. Comstock Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 3.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comstock Mining to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Comstock Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Comstock Mining's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Comstock Mining's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Comstock Mining stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Comstock Mining's open interest, investors have to compare it to Comstock Mining's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Comstock Mining is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Comstock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Comstock Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comstock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comstock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comstock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Comstock Mining Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Comstock Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 3.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Comstock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Comstock Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Comstock Mining Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Comstock Mining | Comstock Mining Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Comstock Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Comstock Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Comstock Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.56, respectively. We have considered Comstock Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Comstock Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Comstock Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0221 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1502 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0422 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.0128 |
Predictive Modules for Comstock Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comstock Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comstock Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comstock Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comstock Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comstock Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comstock Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comstock Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comstock Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comstock Mining's historical news coverage. Comstock Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.18 and 8.54, respectively. We have considered Comstock Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comstock Mining is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comstock Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comstock Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comstock Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comstock Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comstock Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 5.04 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.53 | 3.53 | 0.00 |
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Comstock Mining Hype Timeline
Comstock Mining is now traded for 3.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Comstock is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Comstock Mining is about 3475.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.48. About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Comstock Mining recorded a loss per share of 2.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2019. The firm had 1:10 split on the 25th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comstock Mining to cross-verify your projections.Comstock Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comstock Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comstock Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Comstock Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comstock Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STHO | Star Holdings | (0.11) | 6 per month | 2.30 | (0.03) | 3.91 | (2.77) | 12.93 | |
| ASPS | Altisource Portfolio Solutions | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.77 | (8.97) | 19.75 | |
| AEI | Alset Ehome International | (1.13) | 11 per month | 6.55 | 0.09 | 14.95 | (12.70) | 42.08 | |
| AXR | AMREP | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.56 | (4.09) | 13.12 | |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 9.92 | (12.42) | 62.80 | |
| LPA | Logistic Properties of | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.04 | (8.39) | 23.65 | |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.1 | 3.52 | (2.26) | 9.35 | |
| GPMT | Granite Point Mortgage | 0.16 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.00 | (3.44) | 15.62 | |
| RFL | Rafael Holdings | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.92 | (3.17) | 31.43 | |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.38 | (8.91) | 32.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Comstock Mining
For every potential investor in Comstock, whether a beginner or expert, Comstock Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Comstock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Comstock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Comstock Mining's price trends.Comstock Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Comstock Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Comstock Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comstock Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Comstock Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Comstock Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Comstock Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Comstock Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Comstock Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 122236.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.53 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.79 |
Comstock Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Comstock Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Comstock Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting comstock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Variance | 24.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Comstock Mining
The number of cover stories for Comstock Mining depends on current market conditions and Comstock Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comstock Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comstock Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Comstock Mining Short Properties
Comstock Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comstock Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comstock Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comstock Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comstock Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 954.3 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comstock Mining to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Comstock Stock refer to our How to Trade Comstock Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Comstock diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comstock Mining. Expected growth trajectory for Comstock significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Comstock Mining data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 26.933 | Earnings Share (2.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.90) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Comstock Mining requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Comstock's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Comstock Mining's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Comstock Mining's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Comstock Mining's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Comstock Mining represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Comstock Mining's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.