Logitech International Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LOGI Stock | USD 91.26 0.55 0.60% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Logitech International SA on the next trading day is expected to be 91.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.01. Logitech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Logitech International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Logitech International's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5878 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.5023 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6985 | Wall Street Target Price 111.7 |
Using Logitech International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logitech International SA from the perspective of Logitech International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Logitech International using Logitech International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Logitech using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Logitech International's stock price.
Logitech International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Logitech International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Logitech. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Logitech International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 98.3488 | Short Percent 0.0562 | Short Ratio 11.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.9 M | 50 Day MA 108.2238 |
Logitech International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Logitech International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Logitech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Logitech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Logitech International SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Logitech International Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Logitech International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Logitech International SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Logitech International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Logitech International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Logitech International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Logitech International SA on the next trading day is expected to be 91.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.01. Logitech International after-hype prediction price | USD 91.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Logitech International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Logitech contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Logitech International SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Logitech International trading at USD 91.26, that is roughly USD 0.0217 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Logitech International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Logitech International SA options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Logitech Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Logitech International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Logitech International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Logitech International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Logitech International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Logitech International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Logitech International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Logitech. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Logitech International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Logitech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logitech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logitech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Logitech International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Logitech International SA on the next trading day is expected to be 91.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70, mean absolute percentage error of 5.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Logitech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Logitech International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Logitech International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Logitech International | Logitech International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Logitech International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Logitech International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Logitech International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.18 and 93.34, respectively. We have considered Logitech International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Logitech International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Logitech International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.001 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3755 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7002 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 102.01 |
Predictive Modules for Logitech International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logitech International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Logitech International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Logitech International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logitech International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Logitech International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Logitech International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Logitech International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logitech International's historical news coverage. Logitech International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.12 and 93.28, respectively. We have considered Logitech International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Logitech International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logitech International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Logitech International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logitech International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logitech International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logitech International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.08 | 0.06 | 0.23 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
91.26 | 91.20 | 0.07 |
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Logitech International Hype Timeline
Logitech International is now traded for 91.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Logitech is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 91.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Logitech International is about 303.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.49. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.43. Logitech International last dividend was issued on the 23rd of September 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of July 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Logitech International to cross-verify your projections.Logitech International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Logitech International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logitech International's future price movements. Getting to know how Logitech International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logitech International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 7.59 | (4.02) | 20.77 | |
| TIMB | TIM Participacoes SA | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 3.06 | (2.72) | 8.26 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.16 | (7.32) | 24.93 | |
| HOLO | MicroCloud Hologram | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.57 | (8.22) | 15.30 | |
| ABSOF | ABS CBN Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| FGRO | Fidelity Growth Opportunities | (0.18) | 2 per month | 17.20 | 0.17 | 1.35 | (1.60) | 5,625 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.12 | (2.93) | 10.93 | |
| LSIIX | Loomis Sayles Investment | 6.10 | 5 per month | 0.16 | (0.59) | 0.20 | (0.30) | 0.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Logitech International
For every potential investor in Logitech, whether a beginner or expert, Logitech International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Logitech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Logitech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Logitech International's price trends.Logitech International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Logitech International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Logitech International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Logitech International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Logitech International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Logitech International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Logitech International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Logitech International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Logitech International SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 91.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 91.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.55) |
Logitech International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Logitech International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Logitech International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logitech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Logitech International
The number of cover stories for Logitech International depends on current market conditions and Logitech International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Logitech International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Logitech International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Logitech International Short Properties
Logitech International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Logitech International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Logitech International SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Logitech International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logitech International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Logitech International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Logitech International. If investors know Logitech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Logitech International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | Dividend Share 1.43 | Earnings Share 4.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Logitech International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Logitech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Logitech International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Logitech International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Logitech International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Logitech International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Logitech International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Logitech International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Logitech International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.