Louisiana Pacific Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

LPX Stock  USD 81.73  0.97  1.20%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Louisiana Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 82.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 187.48. Louisiana Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Louisiana Pacific's stock price is slightly above 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Louisiana, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Louisiana Pacific's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Louisiana Pacific, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Louisiana Pacific's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2385
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.653
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.8369
Wall Street Target Price
101.7273
Using Louisiana Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Louisiana Pacific from the perspective of Louisiana Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Louisiana Pacific using Louisiana Pacific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Louisiana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Louisiana Pacific's stock price.

Louisiana Pacific Short Interest

An investor who is long Louisiana Pacific may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Louisiana Pacific and may potentially protect profits, hedge Louisiana Pacific with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
88.7473
Short Percent
0.087
Short Ratio
4.75
Shares Short Prior Month
4.1 M
50 Day MA
82.6218

Louisiana Pacific Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Louisiana Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Louisiana. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Louisiana can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Louisiana Pacific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Louisiana Pacific's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Louisiana Pacific.

Louisiana Pacific Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
Louisiana Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Louisiana Pacific stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Louisiana Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Louisiana Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Louisiana Pacific's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Louisiana Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 82.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 187.48.

Louisiana Pacific after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 82.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Louisiana Pacific to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Louisiana Stock please use our How to Invest in Louisiana Pacific guide.At this time, Louisiana Pacific's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 1.75 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 11.98 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 124.7 M in 2026, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 345.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Louisiana Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Louisiana Pacific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Louisiana Pacific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Louisiana Pacific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Louisiana Pacific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Louisiana Pacific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Louisiana Pacific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Louisiana. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Louisiana Pacific Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Louisiana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Louisiana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Louisiana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Louisiana Pacific polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Louisiana Pacific as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Louisiana Pacific Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Louisiana Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 82.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.07, mean absolute percentage error of 13.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 187.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Louisiana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Louisiana Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Louisiana Pacific Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Louisiana PacificLouisiana Pacific Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Louisiana Pacific Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Louisiana Pacific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Louisiana Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.80 and 84.83, respectively. We have considered Louisiana Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
81.73
82.81
Expected Value
84.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Louisiana Pacific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Louisiana Pacific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7166
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.0734
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0369
SAESum of the absolute errors187.4783
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Louisiana Pacific historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Louisiana Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Louisiana Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.0782.0984.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.5692.2594.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
81.7381.7381.73
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
92.57101.73112.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Louisiana Pacific

For every potential investor in Louisiana, whether a beginner or expert, Louisiana Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Louisiana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Louisiana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Louisiana Pacific's price trends.

Louisiana Pacific Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Louisiana Pacific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Louisiana Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Louisiana Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Louisiana Pacific Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Louisiana Pacific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Louisiana Pacific's current price.

Louisiana Pacific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Louisiana Pacific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Louisiana Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Louisiana Pacific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Louisiana Pacific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Louisiana Pacific Risk Indicators

The analysis of Louisiana Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Louisiana Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting louisiana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Louisiana Stock Analysis

When running Louisiana Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Louisiana Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Louisiana Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Louisiana Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Louisiana Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Louisiana Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.