Liquidity Services Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LQDT Stock  USD 31.18  0.24  0.78%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquidity Services on the next trading day is expected to be 32.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.18. Liquidity Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Liquidity Services' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Liquidity Services' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Liquidity Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Liquidity Services' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.207
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.33
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.39
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.43
Wall Street Target Price
41
Using Liquidity Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liquidity Services from the perspective of Liquidity Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Liquidity Services using Liquidity Services' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Liquidity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Liquidity Services' stock price.

Liquidity Services Short Interest

An investor who is long Liquidity Services may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Liquidity Services and may potentially protect profits, hedge Liquidity Services with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
26.7562
Short Percent
0.0573
Short Ratio
4.76
Shares Short Prior Month
1.1 M
50 Day MA
27.7976

Liquidity Services Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Liquidity Services' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Liquidity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Liquidity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Liquidity Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Liquidity Services' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Liquidity Services.

Liquidity Services Implied Volatility

    
  0.74  
Liquidity Services' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Liquidity Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Liquidity Services' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Liquidity Services stock will not fluctuate a lot when Liquidity Services' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquidity Services on the next trading day is expected to be 32.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.18.

Liquidity Services after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liquidity Services to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Liquidity Stock please use our How to Invest in Liquidity Services guide.At this time, Liquidity Services' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 9.54 in 2026, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 17.50 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 38.1 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 31.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Liquidity Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Liquidity Services' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Liquidity Services' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Liquidity Services stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Liquidity Services' open interest, investors have to compare it to Liquidity Services' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Liquidity Services is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Liquidity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Liquidity Services Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Liquidity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liquidity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liquidity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Liquidity Services' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2004-09-30
Previous Quarter
155.6 M
Current Value
174.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
36.7 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Liquidity Services is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Liquidity Services value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Liquidity Services Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquidity Services on the next trading day is expected to be 32.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liquidity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liquidity Services' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liquidity Services Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Liquidity ServicesLiquidity Services Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Liquidity Services Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liquidity Services' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liquidity Services' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.34 and 35.02, respectively. We have considered Liquidity Services' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.18
32.18
Expected Value
35.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liquidity Services stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liquidity Services stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0436
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6915
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0267
SAESum of the absolute errors42.1788
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Liquidity Services. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Liquidity Services. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Liquidity Services

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liquidity Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liquidity Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9030.7433.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.8534.9837.82
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.3141.0045.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.320.350.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Liquidity Services

For every potential investor in Liquidity, whether a beginner or expert, Liquidity Services' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liquidity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liquidity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liquidity Services' price trends.

Liquidity Services Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liquidity Services stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liquidity Services could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liquidity Services by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liquidity Services Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liquidity Services' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liquidity Services' current price.

Liquidity Services Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liquidity Services stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liquidity Services shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liquidity Services stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liquidity Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liquidity Services Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liquidity Services' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liquidity Services' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liquidity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Liquidity Stock Analysis

When running Liquidity Services' price analysis, check to measure Liquidity Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liquidity Services is operating at the current time. Most of Liquidity Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liquidity Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liquidity Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liquidity Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.