Lattice Semiconductor Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LSCC Stock | USD 85.30 0.18 0.21% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lattice Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 86.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.14. Lattice Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lattice Semiconductor stock prices and determine the direction of Lattice Semiconductor's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lattice Semiconductor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lattice Semiconductor's share price is at 59. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lattice Semiconductor, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0508 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4639 | Wall Street Target Price 85.4286 |
Using Lattice Semiconductor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lattice Semiconductor from the perspective of Lattice Semiconductor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lattice Semiconductor using Lattice Semiconductor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lattice using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lattice Semiconductor's stock price.
Lattice Semiconductor Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lattice Semiconductor's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lattice. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lattice Semiconductor stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 61.5765 | Short Percent 0.122 | Short Ratio 6.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.1 M | 50 Day MA 74.2344 |
Lattice Semiconductor Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lattice Semiconductor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lattice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lattice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lattice Semiconductor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Lattice Semiconductor Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Lattice Semiconductor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lattice Semiconductor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lattice Semiconductor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lattice Semiconductor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lattice Semiconductor's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lattice Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 86.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.14. Lattice Semiconductor after-hype prediction price | USD 85.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lattice Semiconductor to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lattice contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lattice Semiconductor will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lattice Semiconductor trading at USD 85.3, that is roughly USD 0.032 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lattice Semiconductor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lattice Semiconductor options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lattice Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lattice Semiconductor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lattice Semiconductor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lattice Semiconductor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lattice Semiconductor's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lattice Semiconductor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lattice Semiconductor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lattice. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lattice Semiconductor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lattice price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lattice using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lattice charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lattice Semiconductor Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Lattice Semiconductor's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1989-03-31 | Previous Quarter 107.2 M | Current Value 117.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 70.1 M |
Lattice Semiconductor Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lattice Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 86.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.25, mean absolute percentage error of 7.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lattice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lattice Semiconductor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lattice Semiconductor Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lattice Semiconductor | Lattice Semiconductor Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lattice Semiconductor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lattice Semiconductor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lattice Semiconductor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.89 and 89.12, respectively. We have considered Lattice Semiconductor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lattice Semiconductor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lattice Semiconductor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1488 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2481 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 137.1354 |
Predictive Modules for Lattice Semiconductor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lattice Semiconductor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lattice Semiconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lattice Semiconductor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lattice Semiconductor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lattice Semiconductor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lattice Semiconductor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lattice Semiconductor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lattice Semiconductor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lattice Semiconductor's historical news coverage. Lattice Semiconductor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.19 and 88.41, respectively. We have considered Lattice Semiconductor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lattice Semiconductor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lattice Semiconductor is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lattice Semiconductor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lattice Semiconductor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lattice Semiconductor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lattice Semiconductor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 3.12 | 0.13 | 0.64 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
85.30 | 85.30 | 0.00 |
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Lattice Semiconductor Hype Timeline
Lattice Semiconductor is now traded for 85.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.64. Lattice is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lattice Semiconductor is about 166.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.66. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 199.47. Lattice Semiconductor had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 12th of October 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lattice Semiconductor to cross-verify your projections.Lattice Semiconductor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lattice Semiconductor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lattice Semiconductor's future price movements. Getting to know how Lattice Semiconductor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lattice Semiconductor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVMI | Nova | (6.82) | 11 per month | 3.07 | 0.14 | 5.21 | (5.42) | 13.38 | |
| TSEM | Tower Semiconductor | 0.65 | 9 per month | 2.70 | 0.23 | 5.57 | (4.00) | 24.44 | |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology | 0.52 | 11 per month | 3.15 | 0.17 | 8.71 | (6.31) | 25.50 | |
| QRVO | Qorvo Inc | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.47 | (3.02) | 13.27 | |
| RMBS | Rambus Inc | (3.69) | 11 per month | 3.99 | 0.09 | 7.77 | (5.52) | 19.38 | |
| MTSI | MACOM Technology Solutions | (2.24) | 11 per month | 2.04 | 0.21 | 4.93 | (4.20) | 18.11 | |
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions | (5.86) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.88 | (3.83) | 15.56 | |
| MNDY | MondayCom | (0.88) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.21 | (6.07) | 17.07 | |
| MKSI | MKS Instruments | (1.33) | 12 per month | 2.35 | 0.22 | 5.36 | (4.83) | 17.56 | |
| IDCC | InterDigital | 1.13 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.53 | (4.57) | 17.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lattice Semiconductor
For every potential investor in Lattice, whether a beginner or expert, Lattice Semiconductor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lattice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lattice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lattice Semiconductor's price trends.Lattice Semiconductor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lattice Semiconductor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lattice Semiconductor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lattice Semiconductor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lattice Semiconductor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lattice Semiconductor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lattice Semiconductor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lattice Semiconductor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lattice Semiconductor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lattice Semiconductor Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lattice Semiconductor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lattice Semiconductor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lattice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Variance | 9.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lattice Semiconductor
The number of cover stories for Lattice Semiconductor depends on current market conditions and Lattice Semiconductor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lattice Semiconductor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lattice Semiconductor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lattice Semiconductor Short Properties
Lattice Semiconductor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lattice Semiconductor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lattice Semiconductor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lattice Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lattice Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 136.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lattice Semiconductor to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Lattice Stock refer to our How to Trade Lattice Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lattice Semiconductor. If investors know Lattice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lattice Semiconductor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Lattice Semiconductor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lattice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lattice Semiconductor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lattice Semiconductor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lattice Semiconductor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lattice Semiconductor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lattice Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lattice Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lattice Semiconductor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.