Leishen Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| LSE Stock | 3.90 0.45 10.34% |
Leishen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Leishen Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Leishen Energy Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Leishen Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Leishen Energy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) |
Using Leishen Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leishen Energy Holding from the perspective of Leishen Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Leishen Energy Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 4.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94. Leishen Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 3.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leishen Energy to cross-verify your projections. Leishen Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Leishen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leishen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leishen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Leishen Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Leishen Energy Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 4.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leishen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leishen Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Leishen Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Leishen Energy | Leishen Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Leishen Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Leishen Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Leishen Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.56 and 8.19, respectively. We have considered Leishen Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leishen Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leishen Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.734 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2449 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.939 |
Predictive Modules for Leishen Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leishen Energy Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leishen Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leishen Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Leishen Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leishen Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Leishen Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Leishen Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Leishen Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leishen Energy's historical news coverage. Leishen Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 7.72, respectively. We have considered Leishen Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Leishen Energy is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leishen Energy Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Leishen Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leishen Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leishen Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leishen Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.82 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.90 | 3.90 | 0.00 |
|
Leishen Energy Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Leishen Energy Holding is traded for 3.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Leishen is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Leishen Energy is about 1133.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.77. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Leishen Energy Holding last dividend was issued on the September 19, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leishen Energy to cross-verify your projections.Leishen Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Leishen Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leishen Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Leishen Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leishen Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SND | Smart Sand | 0.57 | 9 per month | 4.16 | 0.24 | 10.57 | (5.83) | 36.57 | |
| SLNG | Stabilis Solutions | (0.33) | 8 per month | 2.68 | 0.06 | 5.67 | (4.40) | 22.03 | |
| DTI | Drilling Tools International | 0.08 | 9 per month | 4.12 | 0.16 | 10.80 | (7.35) | 22.79 | |
| NCSM | NCS Multistage Holdings | (3.29) | 8 per month | 2.52 | 0.02 | 5.26 | (4.60) | 20.91 | |
| ZEO | Zeo Energy Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.56 | (8.41) | 25.48 | |
| MMLP | Martin Midstream Partners | (0.1) | 7 per month | 2.73 | 0.02 | 6.23 | (4.27) | 19.56 | |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.02 | 4.61 | (3.07) | 12.00 | |
| DWSN | Dawson Geophysical | (0.03) | 8 per month | 3.43 | 0.04 | 7.46 | (5.56) | 16.23 | |
| IMPP | Imperial Petroleum | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.45 | (6.94) | 33.83 | |
| RCON | Recon Technology | 0.00 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.11 | (6.43) | 18.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Leishen Energy
For every potential investor in Leishen, whether a beginner or expert, Leishen Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Leishen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Leishen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Leishen Energy's price trends.Leishen Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leishen Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leishen Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leishen Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Leishen Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leishen Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leishen Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leishen Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Leishen Energy Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 946.7 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.12) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.42) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.45) |
Leishen Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Leishen Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leishen Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leishen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.83 | |||
| Variance | 14.7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Leishen Energy
The number of cover stories for Leishen Energy depends on current market conditions and Leishen Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leishen Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leishen Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Leishen Energy Short Properties
Leishen Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Leishen Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leishen Energy Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leishen Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leishen Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leishen Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could Leishen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Leishen Energy. Expected growth trajectory for Leishen significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Leishen Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Earnings Share 0.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Leishen Energy Holding using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Leishen Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Leishen Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Leishen Energy's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Leishen Energy represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Leishen Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.