Intuitive Machines Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| LUNR Stock | 20.03 0.58 2.81% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Intuitive Machines on the next trading day is expected to be 19.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.94. Intuitive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Intuitive Machines' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Intuitive Machines' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Intuitive Machines fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Intuitive Machines' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0459 | Wall Street Target Price 17.6667 |
Using Intuitive Machines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intuitive Machines from the perspective of Intuitive Machines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intuitive Machines using Intuitive Machines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intuitive using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intuitive Machines' stock price.
Intuitive Machines Short Interest
An investor who is long Intuitive Machines may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intuitive Machines and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intuitive Machines with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.1196 | Short Percent 0.2304 | Short Ratio 2.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 25 M | 50 Day MA 13.3865 |
Intuitive Machines Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Intuitive Machines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Intuitive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intuitive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intuitive Machines. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Intuitive Machines Implied Volatility | 1.38 |
Intuitive Machines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intuitive Machines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intuitive Machines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intuitive Machines stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intuitive Machines' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Intuitive Machines on the next trading day is expected to be 19.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.94. Intuitive Machines after-hype prediction price | USD 20.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intuitive | Build AI portfolio with Intuitive Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intuitive contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intuitive Machines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0862% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Intuitive Machines trading at USD 20.03, that is roughly USD 0.0173 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intuitive Machines' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intuitive Machines options at the current volatility level of 1.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Intuitive Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Intuitive Machines' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Intuitive Machines' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Intuitive Machines stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Intuitive Machines' open interest, investors have to compare it to Intuitive Machines' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Intuitive Machines is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Intuitive. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Intuitive Machines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intuitive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intuitive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intuitive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Intuitive Machines Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Intuitive Machines on the next trading day is expected to be 19.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85, mean absolute percentage error of 4.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intuitive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intuitive Machines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intuitive Machines Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intuitive Machines | Intuitive Machines Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Intuitive Machines Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intuitive Machines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intuitive Machines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.13 and 27.11, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Machines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intuitive Machines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intuitive Machines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5406 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8538 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 114.9371 |
Predictive Modules for Intuitive Machines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Machines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intuitive Machines After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intuitive Machines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intuitive Machines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intuitive Machines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intuitive Machines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intuitive Machines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intuitive Machines' historical news coverage. Intuitive Machines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.44 and 28.42, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Machines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intuitive Machines is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intuitive Machines is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intuitive Machines Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intuitive Machines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intuitive Machines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intuitive Machines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.99 | 7.49 | 0.90 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.03 | 20.93 | 4.49 |
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Intuitive Machines Hype Timeline
Intuitive Machines is now traded for 20.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Intuitive is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 4.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.99%. The volatility of related hype on Intuitive Machines is about 48150.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.05. Intuitive Machines generates negative cash flow from operationsGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intuitive Machines to cross-verify your projections.Intuitive Machines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intuitive Machines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intuitive Machines' future price movements. Getting to know how Intuitive Machines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intuitive Machines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRTN-PC | Triton International Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | (0.11) | 0.68 | (0.64) | 2.46 | |
| VOYG | Voyager Technologies | 1.33 | 8 per month | 4.62 | 0.03 | 7.91 | (7.09) | 19.57 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | 1.57 | 11 per month | 1.56 | 0.1 | 3.81 | (2.23) | 9.98 | |
| ATKR | Atkore International Group | (3.69) | 4 per month | 2.71 | 0.04 | 3.57 | (2.59) | 15.67 | |
| ENVX | Enovix Corp | 3.39 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.93 | (8.56) | 27.55 | |
| GEO | Geo Group | (0.42) | 8 per month | 2.22 | 0.03 | 4.14 | (3.17) | 11.11 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | (3.69) | 4 per month | 1.17 | 0.18 | 4.24 | (2.26) | 7.44 | |
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group | 1.59 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.65 | (2.83) | 12.80 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | 0.06 | 3 per month | 2.69 | (0.02) | 4.13 | (4.52) | 13.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Intuitive Machines
For every potential investor in Intuitive, whether a beginner or expert, Intuitive Machines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intuitive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intuitive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intuitive Machines' price trends.Intuitive Machines Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intuitive Machines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intuitive Machines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intuitive Machines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intuitive Machines Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intuitive Machines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intuitive Machines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intuitive Machines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intuitive Machines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 469503.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.58) |
Intuitive Machines Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intuitive Machines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intuitive Machines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intuitive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.41 | |||
| Variance | 54.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 31.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 26.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Intuitive Machines
The number of cover stories for Intuitive Machines depends on current market conditions and Intuitive Machines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intuitive Machines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intuitive Machines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intuitive Machines Short Properties
Intuitive Machines' future price predictability will typically decrease when Intuitive Machines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intuitive Machines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intuitive Machines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuitive Machines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 207.6 M |
Additional Tools for Intuitive Stock Analysis
When running Intuitive Machines' price analysis, check to measure Intuitive Machines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuitive Machines is operating at the current time. Most of Intuitive Machines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuitive Machines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuitive Machines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuitive Machines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.