Lamb Weston Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LW Stock  USD 42.29  0.40  0.95%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lamb Weston Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 37.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.32. Lamb Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Lamb Weston's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lamb Weston's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lamb Weston and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lamb Weston's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lamb Weston Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lamb Weston's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.7372
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.0379
Wall Street Target Price
54.6364
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.6487
Using Lamb Weston hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lamb Weston Holdings from the perspective of Lamb Weston response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lamb Weston using Lamb Weston's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lamb using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lamb Weston's stock price.

Lamb Weston Short Interest

An investor who is long Lamb Weston may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lamb Weston and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lamb Weston with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
55.5888
Short Percent
0.0348
Short Ratio
3.6
Shares Short Prior Month
3.7 M
50 Day MA
57.4602

Lamb Weston Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lamb Weston's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lamb. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lamb can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lamb Weston Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lamb Weston's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lamb Weston.

Lamb Weston Implied Volatility

    
  0.57  
Lamb Weston's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lamb Weston Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lamb Weston's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lamb Weston stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lamb Weston's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lamb Weston Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 37.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.32.

Lamb Weston after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lamb Weston to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Lamb Weston's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 13.61 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 5.49 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 457.5 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 116.9 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Lamb Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lamb Weston's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lamb Weston's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lamb Weston stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lamb Weston's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lamb Weston's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lamb Weston is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lamb. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lamb Weston Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lamb price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lamb using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lamb charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Lamb Weston's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-05-31
Previous Quarter
98.6 M
Current Value
82.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
330.7 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Lamb Weston is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lamb Weston Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lamb Weston Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lamb Weston Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 37.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19, mean absolute percentage error of 8.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lamb Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lamb Weston's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lamb Weston Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lamb WestonLamb Weston Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lamb Weston Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lamb Weston's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lamb Weston's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.99 and 41.13, respectively. We have considered Lamb Weston's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.29
37.56
Expected Value
41.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lamb Weston stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lamb Weston stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1929
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1856
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0404
SAESum of the absolute errors133.319
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lamb Weston Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lamb Weston. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lamb Weston

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lamb Weston Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lamb Weston's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.6942.2945.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2730.8746.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.6253.4469.27
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.7254.6460.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lamb Weston

For every potential investor in Lamb, whether a beginner or expert, Lamb Weston's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lamb Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lamb. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lamb Weston's price trends.

Lamb Weston Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lamb Weston stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lamb Weston could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lamb Weston by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lamb Weston Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lamb Weston's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lamb Weston's current price.

Lamb Weston Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lamb Weston stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lamb Weston shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lamb Weston stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lamb Weston Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lamb Weston Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lamb Weston's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lamb Weston's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lamb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Lamb Stock Analysis

When running Lamb Weston's price analysis, check to measure Lamb Weston's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamb Weston is operating at the current time. Most of Lamb Weston's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamb Weston's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamb Weston's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamb Weston to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.