Lamb Weston Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LW Stock  USD 43.49  0.23  0.53%   
Lamb Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Lamb Weston's share price is approaching 34. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lamb Weston, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lamb Weston's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lamb Weston and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lamb Weston's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lamb Weston Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lamb Weston's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.7361
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.0313
Wall Street Target Price
54.6364
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.6487
Using Lamb Weston hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lamb Weston Holdings from the perspective of Lamb Weston response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lamb Weston using Lamb Weston's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lamb using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lamb Weston's stock price.

Lamb Weston Short Interest

An investor who is long Lamb Weston may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lamb Weston and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lamb Weston with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
54.6976
Short Percent
0.0481
Short Ratio
1.87
Shares Short Prior Month
3.9 M
50 Day MA
51.164

Lamb Relative Strength Index

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lamb Weston Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 43.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.41.

Lamb Weston Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lamb Weston's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lamb. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lamb can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lamb Weston Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lamb Weston's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lamb Weston.

Lamb Weston Implied Volatility

    
  0.56  
Lamb Weston's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lamb Weston Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lamb Weston's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lamb Weston stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lamb Weston's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lamb Weston Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 43.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.41.

Lamb Weston after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lamb Weston to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lamb contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lamb Weston Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Lamb Weston trading at USD 43.49, that is roughly USD 0.0152 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lamb Weston's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lamb Weston Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Lamb Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lamb Weston's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lamb Weston's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lamb Weston stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lamb Weston's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lamb Weston's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lamb Weston is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lamb. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lamb Weston Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lamb price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lamb using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lamb charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Lamb Weston is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Lamb Weston Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lamb Weston Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 43.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02, mean absolute percentage error of 6.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lamb Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lamb Weston's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lamb Weston Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lamb Weston  Lamb Weston Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Lamb Weston Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lamb Weston's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lamb Weston's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.94 and 47.27, respectively. We have considered Lamb Weston's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.49
43.60
Expected Value
47.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lamb Weston stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lamb Weston stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2397
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4724
MADMean absolute deviation1.0239
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0212
SAESum of the absolute errors60.41
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Lamb Weston Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Lamb Weston. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Lamb Weston

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lamb Weston Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lamb Weston's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.8343.5047.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.1451.0854.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
40.3442.4944.63
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.7254.6460.65
Details

Lamb Weston After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lamb Weston at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lamb Weston or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lamb Weston, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lamb Weston Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lamb Weston's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lamb Weston's historical news coverage. Lamb Weston's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.83 and 47.17, respectively. We have considered Lamb Weston's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
43.49
43.50
After-hype Price
47.17
Upside
Lamb Weston is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lamb Weston Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lamb Weston Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lamb Weston is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lamb Weston backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lamb Weston, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52 
3.67
  0.01 
  0.09 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.49
43.50
0.02 
18,350  
Notes

Lamb Weston Hype Timeline

As of January 27, 2026 Lamb Weston Holdings is listed for 43.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Lamb is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Lamb Weston is about 2121.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.40. The company generated the yearly revenue of 6.45 B. Reported Net Income was 357.2 M with gross profit of 1.43 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lamb Weston to cross-verify your projections.

Lamb Weston Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lamb Weston's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lamb Weston's future price movements. Getting to know how Lamb Weston's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lamb Weston may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CPBCampbells Co(0.07)8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.28 (3.12) 8.15 
CAGConAgra Foods 0.28 9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.63 (2.53) 7.20 
PPCPilgrims Pride Corp 1.27 8 per month 1.39  0.07  3.22 (1.79) 8.77 
INGRIngredion Incorporated 1.29 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.26 (1.63) 6.05 
EDUNew Oriental Education(0.38)11 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.07 (3.35) 8.47 
SJMThe J M(1.33)9 per month 1.53 (0.05) 2.58 (2.38) 6.31 
POSTPost Holdings(0.45)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.02 (2.44) 9.22 
SFDSmithfield Foods Common(0.04)9 per month 0.97  0.04  2.32 (1.60) 8.32 
OLLIOllies Bargain Outlet(1.35)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.30 (2.82) 10.10 
TAPMolson Coors Brewing(0.95)9 per month 1.62  0.02  3.30 (2.55) 8.40 

Other Forecasting Options for Lamb Weston

For every potential investor in Lamb, whether a beginner or expert, Lamb Weston's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lamb Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lamb. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lamb Weston's price trends.

Lamb Weston Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lamb Weston stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lamb Weston could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lamb Weston by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lamb Weston Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lamb Weston stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lamb Weston shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lamb Weston stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lamb Weston Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lamb Weston Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lamb Weston's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lamb Weston's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lamb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lamb Weston

The number of cover stories for Lamb Weston depends on current market conditions and Lamb Weston's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lamb Weston is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lamb Weston's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lamb Weston Short Properties

Lamb Weston's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lamb Weston's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lamb Weston Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lamb Weston's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lamb Weston's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments70.7 M

Additional Tools for Lamb Stock Analysis

When running Lamb Weston's price analysis, check to measure Lamb Weston's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamb Weston is operating at the current time. Most of Lamb Weston's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamb Weston's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamb Weston's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamb Weston to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.