Macerich Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| MAC Stock | USD 18.60 0.17 0.92% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Macerich Company on the next trading day is expected to be 18.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.52. Macerich Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Macerich stock prices and determine the direction of Macerich Company's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Macerich's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Macerich's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Macerich, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 39.711 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.36) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 20.1333 |
Using Macerich hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macerich Company from the perspective of Macerich response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Macerich using Macerich's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Macerich using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Macerich's stock price.
Macerich Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Macerich's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Macerich. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Macerich stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 16.8919 | Short Percent 0.0894 | Short Ratio 9.2 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.3 M | 50 Day MA 17.9164 |
Macerich Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Macerich's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Macerich. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Macerich can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Macerich Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Macerich Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Macerich's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Macerich Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Macerich's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Macerich stock will not fluctuate a lot when Macerich's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Macerich Company on the next trading day is expected to be 18.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.52. Macerich after-hype prediction price | USD 18.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Macerich to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Macerich contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Macerich Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Macerich trading at USD 18.6, that is roughly USD 0.006045 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Macerich's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Macerich Company options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Macerich Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Macerich's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Macerich's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Macerich stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Macerich's open interest, investors have to compare it to Macerich's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Macerich is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Macerich. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Macerich Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Macerich price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macerich using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macerich charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Macerich Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Macerich Company on the next trading day is expected to be 18.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Macerich Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Macerich's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Macerich Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Macerich | Macerich Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Macerich Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Macerich's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Macerich's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.19 and 20.37, respectively. We have considered Macerich's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Macerich stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Macerich stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9743 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4676 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0267 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.5236 |
Predictive Modules for Macerich
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macerich. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Macerich After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Macerich at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macerich or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Macerich, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Macerich Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Macerich's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macerich's historical news coverage. Macerich's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.01 and 20.19, respectively. We have considered Macerich's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Macerich is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macerich is based on 3 months time horizon.
Macerich Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macerich is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macerich backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macerich, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.59 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 15 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.60 | 18.60 | 0.00 |
|
Macerich Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Macerich is traded for 18.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Macerich is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Macerich is about 966.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.61. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.9. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Macerich recorded a loss per share of 1.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 1014:1000 split on the 11th of February 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Macerich to cross-verify your projections.Macerich Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Macerich's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macerich's future price movements. Getting to know how Macerich's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Macerich may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PECO | Phillips Edison Co | 0.10 | 7 per month | 0.62 | (0.06) | 1.53 | (0.93) | 4.29 | |
| REG | Regency Centers | (0.52) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.67 | (1.60) | 3.79 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.05) | 2.04 | (1.65) | 5.39 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.30) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.67 | |
| SLG | SL Green Realty | 0.06 | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.57 | (3.23) | 10.73 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | 0.98 | 16 per month | 1.07 | (0.07) | 2.13 | (1.82) | 5.57 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.1 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.77 | (2.57) | 6.66 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.81 | 4 per month | 1.49 | (0.04) | 1.90 | (1.60) | 7.62 | |
| PSA | Public Storage | 0.25 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.27 | (2.17) | 6.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Macerich
For every potential investor in Macerich, whether a beginner or expert, Macerich's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Macerich Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Macerich. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Macerich's price trends.Macerich Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Macerich stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Macerich could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Macerich by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Macerich Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Macerich stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Macerich shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Macerich stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Macerich Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Macerich Risk Indicators
The analysis of Macerich's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Macerich's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting macerich stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Macerich
The number of cover stories for Macerich depends on current market conditions and Macerich's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Macerich is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Macerich's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Macerich Short Properties
Macerich's future price predictability will typically decrease when Macerich's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Macerich Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Macerich's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macerich's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 249.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Macerich to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macerich. If investors know Macerich will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macerich listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 39.711 | Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share (1.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.239 |
The market value of Macerich is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macerich that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macerich's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macerich's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macerich's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macerich's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macerich's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macerich is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macerich's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.