J W Stock Forward View

MAYS Stock  USD 40.00  0.44  1.11%   
MAYS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of J W's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling J W, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of J W's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of J W and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from J W's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with J W Mays, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting J W's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using J W hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of J W Mays from the perspective of J W response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of J W Mays on the next trading day is expected to be 40.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.63.

J W after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

J W Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MAYS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MAYS using various technical indicators. When you analyze MAYS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the J W's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1986-07-31
Previous Quarter
1.8 M
Current Value
2.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
2.3 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for J W is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of J W Mays value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

J W Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of J W Mays on the next trading day is expected to be 40.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MAYS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that J W's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

J W Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest J W  J W Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of J W stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent J W stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7252
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6824
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors41.627
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of J W Mays. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict J W. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for J W

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as J W Mays. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of J W's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.8140.0441.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7032.9344.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.1238.8040.47
Details

J W After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of J W at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in J W or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of J W, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

J W Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting J W's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on J W's historical news coverage. J W's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.81 and 41.27, respectively. We have considered J W's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.00
40.04
After-hype Price
41.27
Upside
J W is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of J W Mays is based on 3 months time horizon.

J W Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as J W is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading J W backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with J W, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.23
  0.04 
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.00
40.04
0.10 
820.00  
Notes

J W Hype Timeline

J W Mays is now traded for 40.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. MAYS is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on J W is about 7380.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.00. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (136.24 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.2 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

J W Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to J W's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict J W's future price movements. Getting to know how J W's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how J W may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

J W Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with J W stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of J W could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing J W by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

J W Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how J W stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading J W shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying J W stock market strength indicators, traders can identify J W Mays entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

J W Risk Indicators

The analysis of J W's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in J W's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mays stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for J W

The number of cover stories for J W depends on current market conditions and J W's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that J W is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about J W's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

J W Short Properties

J W's future price predictability will typically decrease when J W's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of J W Mays often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential J W's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. J W's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 M

Additional Tools for MAYS Stock Analysis

When running J W's price analysis, check to measure J W's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy J W is operating at the current time. Most of J W's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of J W's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move J W's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of J W to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.