MetroCity Bankshares Stock Forward View
| MCBS Stock | USD 29.97 0.02 0.07% |
MetroCity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of MetroCity Bankshares' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.084 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.05 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.2 | Wall Street Target Price 31 |
Using MetroCity Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MetroCity Bankshares from the perspective of MetroCity Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MetroCity Bankshares using MetroCity Bankshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MetroCity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MetroCity Bankshares' stock price.
MetroCity Bankshares Implied Volatility | 0.95 |
MetroCity Bankshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MetroCity Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MetroCity Bankshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MetroCity Bankshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when MetroCity Bankshares' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MetroCity Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 30.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.14. MetroCity Bankshares after-hype prediction price | USD 29.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MetroCity | Build AI portfolio with MetroCity Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MetroCity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MetroCity Bankshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0594% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MetroCity Bankshares trading at USD 29.97, that is roughly USD 0.0178 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MetroCity Bankshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring MetroCity Bankshares options at the current volatility level of 0.95%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MetroCity Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MetroCity Bankshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MetroCity Bankshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MetroCity Bankshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MetroCity Bankshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to MetroCity Bankshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MetroCity Bankshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MetroCity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MetroCity Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MetroCity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MetroCity using various technical indicators. When you analyze MetroCity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the MetroCity Bankshares' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2015-12-31 | Previous Quarter 213.9 M | Current Value 370.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 101.9 M |
MetroCity Bankshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MetroCity Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 30.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MetroCity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MetroCity Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MetroCity Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MetroCity Bankshares | MetroCity Bankshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
MetroCity Bankshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MetroCity Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MetroCity Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.29 and 31.90, respectively. We have considered MetroCity Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MetroCity Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MetroCity Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0483 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.494 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.136 |
Predictive Modules for MetroCity Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MetroCity Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MetroCity Bankshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MetroCity Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MetroCity Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MetroCity Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MetroCity Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MetroCity Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MetroCity Bankshares' historical news coverage. MetroCity Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.17 and 31.77, respectively. We have considered MetroCity Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MetroCity Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetroCity Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
MetroCity Bankshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MetroCity Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MetroCity Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MetroCity Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.44 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.97 | 29.97 | 0.00 |
|
MetroCity Bankshares Hype Timeline
MetroCity Bankshares is now traded for 29.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.44. MetroCity is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on MetroCity Bankshares is about 102.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.41. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.59. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MetroCity Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 3rd of September 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MetroCity Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.MetroCity Bankshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MetroCity Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MetroCity Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how MetroCity Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MetroCity Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 3.34 | 11 per month | 1.81 | 0.02 | 3.11 | (3.38) | 9.74 | |
| CAC | Camden National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.18 | 3.78 | (2.43) | 10.30 | |
| MPB | Mid Penn Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.12 | 3.30 | (1.71) | 10.41 | |
| ORRF | Orrstown Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.1 | 2.77 | (2.35) | 8.73 | |
| MCB | Metropolitan Bank Holding | 10.12 | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.21 | 3.81 | (1.74) | 19.32 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.21 | 2.87 | (1.61) | 9.66 | |
| SPFI | South Plains Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.11 | 2.83 | (1.64) | 9.15 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 3.57 | 11 per month | 1.66 | 0.08 | 2.88 | (2.01) | 14.35 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | 0.17 | 2.69 | (1.82) | 6.24 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | 0.54 | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.20 | 4.07 | (2.47) | 10.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for MetroCity Bankshares
For every potential investor in MetroCity, whether a beginner or expert, MetroCity Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MetroCity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MetroCity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MetroCity Bankshares' price trends.MetroCity Bankshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MetroCity Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MetroCity Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MetroCity Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MetroCity Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MetroCity Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MetroCity Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MetroCity Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MetroCity Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MetroCity Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of MetroCity Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MetroCity Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting metrocity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MetroCity Bankshares
The number of cover stories for MetroCity Bankshares depends on current market conditions and MetroCity Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MetroCity Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MetroCity Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
MetroCity Bankshares Short Properties
MetroCity Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when MetroCity Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MetroCity Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MetroCity Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MetroCity Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 418 M |
Additional Tools for MetroCity Stock Analysis
When running MetroCity Bankshares' price analysis, check to measure MetroCity Bankshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MetroCity Bankshares is operating at the current time. Most of MetroCity Bankshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MetroCity Bankshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MetroCity Bankshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MetroCity Bankshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.