Matthews China Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MCH Etf | USD 30.05 0.00 0.00% |
Matthews Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Matthews China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of Matthews China's share price is at 57. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Matthews China, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Matthews China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matthews China Active from the perspective of Matthews China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Matthews China using Matthews China's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Matthews using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Matthews China's stock price.
Matthews China Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Matthews China's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Matthews China Active stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Matthews China's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Matthews China stock will not fluctuate a lot when Matthews China's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Matthews China Active on the next trading day is expected to be 30.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.04. Matthews China after-hype prediction price | USD 30.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Matthews | Build AI portfolio with Matthews Etf |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Matthews contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Matthews China Active will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Matthews China trading at USD 30.05, that is roughly USD 0.007325 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Matthews China's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Matthews China Active options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Matthews Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Matthews China's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Matthews China's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Matthews China stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Matthews China's open interest, investors have to compare it to Matthews China's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Matthews China is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Matthews. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Matthews China Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Matthews price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matthews using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matthews charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Matthews China Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Matthews China Active on the next trading day is expected to be 30.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Matthews Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Matthews China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Matthews China Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Matthews China | Matthews China Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Matthews China Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Matthews China's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Matthews China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.02 and 31.08, respectively. We have considered Matthews China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Matthews China etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Matthews China etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1996 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0325 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2549 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.04 |
Predictive Modules for Matthews China
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews China Active. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matthews China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matthews China After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Matthews China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matthews China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Matthews China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Matthews China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Matthews China's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matthews China's historical news coverage. Matthews China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.01 and 31.09, respectively. We have considered Matthews China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Matthews China is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matthews China Active is based on 3 months time horizon.
Matthews China Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Matthews China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matthews China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matthews China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
30.05 | 30.05 | 0.00 |
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Matthews China Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Matthews China Active is traded for 30.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Matthews is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Matthews China is about 3433.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.05. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Matthews China to cross-verify your projections.Matthews China Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Matthews China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matthews China's future price movements. Getting to know how Matthews China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matthews China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTDS | First Trust Dividend | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.56 | 0.07 | 2.01 | (1.25) | 3.67 | |
| RFLR | Innovator ETFs Trust | (0.19) | 1 per month | 0.66 | (0) | 1.24 | (1.38) | 3.20 | |
| JPSV | Jpmorgan Active Small | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.74 | 0.04 | 2.07 | (1.65) | 5.24 | |
| EAOR | iShares ESG Aware | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | (0.04) | 0.74 | (0.79) | 2.17 | |
| RAYC | Rayliant Asset Management | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.88 | 0.05 | 1.81 | (1.18) | 7.60 | |
| HDG | ProShares Hedge Replication | 0.15 | 13 per month | 0.27 | (0.08) | 0.49 | (0.57) | 1.33 | |
| KHYB | KraneShares Asia Pacific | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.29 | (0.16) | 0.62 | |
| SQLV | Royce Quant Small Cap | (0.12) | 2 per month | 0.74 | 0.02 | 2.27 | (1.36) | 5.04 | |
| COWS | Amplify Cash Flow | (0.17) | 4 per month | 0.76 | 0.03 | 1.78 | (1.43) | 4.14 | |
| SHUS | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.55 | (0.01) | 1.27 | (1.03) | 2.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Matthews China
For every potential investor in Matthews, whether a beginner or expert, Matthews China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Matthews Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Matthews. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Matthews China's price trends.Matthews China Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Matthews China etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Matthews China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Matthews China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Matthews China Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Matthews China etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Matthews China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Matthews China etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Matthews China Active entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0043 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 30.01 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.065 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.38 |
Matthews China Risk Indicators
The analysis of Matthews China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Matthews China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting matthews etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8247 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9914 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Variance | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9829 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Matthews China
The number of cover stories for Matthews China depends on current market conditions and Matthews China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Matthews China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Matthews China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Matthews China to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Understanding Matthews China Active requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Matthews's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Matthews China's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Matthews China's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Matthews China's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Matthews China represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Matthews China's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.