Moodys Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

MCO Stock  USD 452.49  5.21  1.14%   
Moodys Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Moodys' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Moodys' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Moodys fundamentals over time.
As of today the rsi of Moodys' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Moodys' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Moodys, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Moodys' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.229
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.0703
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.7388
EPS Estimate Next Year
16.476
Wall Street Target Price
575.5263
Using Moodys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moodys from the perspective of Moodys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Moodys using Moodys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Moodys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Moodys' stock price.

Moodys Short Interest

An investor who is long Moodys may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Moodys and may potentially protect profits, hedge Moodys with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
493.2725
Short Percent
0.0165
Short Ratio
3.41
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
506.3178

Moodys Relative Strength Index

Moodys Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Moodys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moodys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moodys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moodys. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Moodys' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Moodys.

Moodys Implied Volatility

    
  0.3  
Moodys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Moodys stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Moodys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Moodys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Moodys' options are near their expiration.

Moodys after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 452.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moodys to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Moodys contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Moodys will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Moodys trading at USD 452.49, that is roughly USD 0.0848 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Moodys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Moodys options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Moodys Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Moodys' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Moodys' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Moodys stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Moodys' open interest, investors have to compare it to Moodys' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Moodys is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Moodys. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Moodys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Moodys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moodys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moodys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Moodys has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0388. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Moodys is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Moodys to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Moodys trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Moodys VolatilityBacktest MoodysInformation Ratio  

Moodys Trading Date Momentum

On February 08 2026 Moodys was traded for  452.49  at the closing time. Highest Moodys's price during the trading hours was 465.57  and the lowest price during the day was  447.51 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 8th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.99% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Moodys to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Moodys

For every potential investor in Moodys, whether a beginner or expert, Moodys' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Moodys Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Moodys. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Moodys' price trends.

Moodys Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Moodys stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Moodys could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moodys by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Moodys Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Moodys stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Moodys shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Moodys stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Moodys entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Moodys Risk Indicators

The analysis of Moodys' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Moodys' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting moodys stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Moodys

The number of cover stories for Moodys depends on current market conditions and Moodys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moodys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moodys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Moodys Short Properties

Moodys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Moodys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moodys often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moodys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moodys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182.7 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
When determining whether Moodys offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Moodys' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Moodys Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Moodys Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Moodys to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Financial Exchanges & Data sector continue expanding? Could Moodys diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moodys. Expected growth trajectory for Moodys significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Moodys data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.229
Dividend Share
3.67
Earnings Share
12.44
Revenue Per Share
41.724
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Understanding Moodys requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Moodys's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Moodys' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Moodys' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Moodys' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Moodys represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Moodys' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.