Moodys Stock Price Patterns
| MCO Stock | USD 444.79 5.97 1.32% |
Momentum 24
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.0703 | EPS Estimate Current Year 14.7297 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.4536 | Wall Street Target Price 570.7 |
Using Moodys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moodys from the perspective of Moodys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Moodys using Moodys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Moodys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Moodys' stock price.
Moodys Short Interest
An investor who is long Moodys may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Moodys and may potentially protect profits, hedge Moodys with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 492.9047 | Short Percent 0.0137 | Short Ratio 2.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 499.9884 |
Moodys Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Moodys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moodys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moodys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moodys. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Moodys' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Moodys.
Moodys Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Moodys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Moodys stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Moodys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Moodys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Moodys' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moodys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moodys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Moodys after-hype prediction price | USD 450.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Moodys contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Moodys will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Moodys trading at USD 444.79, that is roughly USD 0.1 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Moodys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Moodys options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Moodys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moodys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Moodys After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Moodys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moodys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moodys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Moodys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Moodys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moodys' historical news coverage. Moodys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 448.50 and 452.80, respectively. We have considered Moodys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Moodys is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moodys is based on 3 months time horizon.
Moodys Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moodys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moodys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moodys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.15 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
444.79 | 450.65 | 0.02 |
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Moodys Hype Timeline
On the 19th of February Moodys is traded for 444.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Moodys is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 450.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 80.52%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Moodys is about 55.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 444.48. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.65. Moodys recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Moodys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Moodys Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Moodys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moodys' future price movements. Getting to know how Moodys' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moodys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange | 1.02 | 8 per month | 2.20 | (0.01) | 2.09 | (2.46) | 11.53 | |
| COIN | Coinbase Global | (12.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.47 | (7.06) | 21.12 | |
| CME | CME Group | 0.23 | 6 per month | 1.07 | 0.08 | 1.99 | (2.07) | 5.09 | |
| BAM | Brookfield Asset Management | 1.21 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.43 | (4.19) | 9.11 | |
| MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies | (1.91) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.97 | (1.64) | 9.33 | |
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | (0.11) | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.22 | 3.35 | (3.12) | 12.43 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 2.52 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.12 | 2.12 | (1.68) | 6.14 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 1.69 | (1.75) | 6.23 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | (0.54) | 7 per month | 2.26 | 0.03 | 3.85 | (3.65) | 11.48 | |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc | (29.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.18 | (2.21) | 13.51 |
Moodys Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Moodys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moodys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moodys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Moodys Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Moodys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Moodys, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moodys based on analysis of Moodys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moodys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moodys's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007883 | 0.007204 | 0.007662 | 0.0122 | Price To Sales Ratio | 12.09 | 12.14 | 11.85 | 12.45 |
Pair Trading with Moodys
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Moodys position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Moodys will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Moodys Stock
Moving against Moodys Stock
| 0.7 | LFIN | LongFin Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | TW | Tradeweb Markets Normal Trading | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | CME | CME Group | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | AUX1 | ASX LTD UNSPONSADR | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | AUX | ASX Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | LS4D | LONDON STEXUNSPADRS12 Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Moodys could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Moodys when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Moodys - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Moodys to buy it.
The correlation of Moodys is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Moodys moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Moodys moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Moodys can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Moodys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Will Financial Exchanges & Data sector continue expanding? Could Moodys diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moodys. Expected growth trajectory for Moodys significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Moodys data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | Dividend Share 3.67 | Earnings Share 12.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
Understanding Moodys requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Moodys's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Moodys' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Moodys' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Moodys' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Moodys represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Moodys' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.