MDB Capital Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| MDBH Stock | 3.13 0.03 0.95% |
MDB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of MDB Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of MDB Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.16 |
Using MDB Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MDB Capital Holdings from the perspective of MDB Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MDB Capital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.99. MDB Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 3.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MDB Capital to cross-verify your projections. MDB Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MDB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MDB using various technical indicators. When you analyze MDB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MDB Capital Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MDB Capital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MDB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MDB Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MDB Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MDB Capital | MDB Capital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
MDB Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MDB Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MDB Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.57, respectively. We have considered MDB Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MDB Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MDB Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0171 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0998 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0295 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.9852 |
Predictive Modules for MDB Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MDB Capital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MDB Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MDB Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MDB Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MDB Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MDB Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MDB Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MDB Capital's historical news coverage. MDB Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 6.56, respectively. We have considered MDB Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MDB Capital is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MDB Capital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
MDB Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MDB Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MDB Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MDB Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 3.45 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.13 | 3.11 | 0.64 |
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MDB Capital Hype Timeline
MDB Capital Holdings is now traded for 3.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. MDB is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on MDB Capital is about 3791.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.15. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MDB Capital Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MDB Capital to cross-verify your projections.MDB Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MDB Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MDB Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how MDB Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MDB Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAFN | Bayfirst Financial Corp | 0.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.48 | (3.50) | 11.17 | |
| TOP | Zhong Yang Financial | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.91 | (2.91) | 12.56 | |
| GREE | Greenidge Generation Holdings | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.46 | (9.30) | 26.38 | |
| OMCC | Old Market Capital | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.97 | (7.79) | 39.96 | |
| AHG | Akso Health Group | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.59 | (6.87) | 26.06 | |
| ICMB | Investcorp Credit Management | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.09 | 3.93 | (2.44) | 10.17 | |
| ETHM | Dynamix | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.12 | (0.40) | 0.19 | (0.29) | 1.16 | |
| ARBK | Argo Blockchain PLC | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 12.49 | (17.52) | 91.48 | |
| ATMV | AlphaVest Acquisition Corp | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 21.92 | (16.88) | 92.48 | |
| HGBL | Heritage Global | 0.03 | 7 per month | 2.34 | (0.01) | 5.69 | (3.60) | 16.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for MDB Capital
For every potential investor in MDB, whether a beginner or expert, MDB Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MDB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MDB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MDB Capital's price trends.MDB Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MDB Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MDB Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MDB Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MDB Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MDB Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MDB Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MDB Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MDB Capital Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 129.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
MDB Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of MDB Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MDB Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mdb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Variance | 11.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MDB Capital
The number of cover stories for MDB Capital depends on current market conditions and MDB Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MDB Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MDB Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
MDB Capital Short Properties
MDB Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when MDB Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MDB Capital Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MDB Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MDB Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MDB Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is there potential for Investment Banking & Brokerage market expansion? Will MDB introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MDB Capital. Expected growth trajectory for MDB significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about MDB Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.16 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
MDB Capital Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on MDB's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate MDB Capital's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since MDB Capital's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that MDB Capital's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MDB Capital represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, MDB Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.