Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Price Patterns
| BAFN Stock | USD 6.81 0.29 4.45% |
Momentum 13
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.094 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using Bayfirst Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bayfirst Financial Corp from the perspective of Bayfirst Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bayfirst Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bayfirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bayfirst Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 6.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Bayfirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Bayfirst Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bayfirst Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bayfirst Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bayfirst Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bayfirst Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bayfirst Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bayfirst Financial's historical news coverage. Bayfirst Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.30 and 9.18, respectively. We have considered Bayfirst Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bayfirst Financial is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bayfirst Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bayfirst Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bayfirst Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bayfirst Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bayfirst Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.44 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.81 | 6.74 | 1.03 |
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Bayfirst Financial Hype Timeline
Bayfirst Financial Corp is currently traded for 6.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Bayfirst is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Bayfirst Financial is about 4000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.78. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bayfirst Financial Corp recorded a loss per share of 3.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 12th of May 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Bayfirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bayfirst Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bayfirst Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bayfirst Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Bayfirst Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bayfirst Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TECTP | Tectonic Financial PR | (0.01) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.91 | (3.14) | 9.74 | |
| OPHC | OptimumBank Holdings | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.16 | 2.19 | (1.71) | 8.83 | |
| MDBH | MDB Capital Holdings | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.96 | (6.06) | 16.13 | |
| KFFB | Kentucky First Federal | 0.10 | 7 per month | 3.75 | 0.07 | 6.52 | (6.24) | 18.06 | |
| TCBS | Texas Community Bancshares | 0.00 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.07 | 3.90 | (2.22) | 12.58 | |
| STLE | Stylesite Marketing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MBBC | Marathon Bancorp Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.10 | 3.46 | (2.55) | 8.12 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | (0.74) | 8 per month | 3.28 | 0.11 | 6.92 | (3.85) | 21.76 | |
| ICMB | Investcorp Credit Management | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.01 | 2.60 | (2.11) | 8.35 | |
| PBBK | PB Bankshares | 0.06 | 7 per month | 1.51 | (0.01) | 2.40 | (2.53) | 10.19 |
Bayfirst Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bayfirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bayfirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bayfirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bayfirst Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bayfirst Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bayfirst Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bayfirst Financial based on analysis of Bayfirst Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bayfirst Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bayfirst Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0427 | 0.0521 | 0.0469 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.5 |
Pair Trading with Bayfirst Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bayfirst Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bayfirst Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Bayfirst Stock
Moving against Bayfirst Stock
| 0.87 | DD | Dupont De Nemours | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | CAT | Caterpillar | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | AA | Alcoa Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | SAR | Saratoga Investment Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | WMT | Walmart Common Stock Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bayfirst Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bayfirst Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bayfirst Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bayfirst Financial Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Bayfirst Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bayfirst Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bayfirst Financial Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bayfirst Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Bayfirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Bayfirst diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. Projected growth potential of Bayfirst fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bayfirst Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.094 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share (3.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Investors evaluate Bayfirst Financial Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bayfirst Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bayfirst Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bayfirst Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.