Medalist Diversified Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MDRR Stock | USD 12.00 0.50 4.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Medalist Diversified Reit on the next trading day is expected to be 12.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.70. Medalist Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Medalist Diversified's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Medalist Diversified's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Medalist Diversified fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Medalist Diversified's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.192 |
Using Medalist Diversified hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medalist Diversified Reit from the perspective of Medalist Diversified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Medalist Diversified Reit on the next trading day is expected to be 12.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.70. Medalist Diversified after-hype prediction price | USD 12.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medalist Diversified to cross-verify your projections. Medalist Diversified Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Medalist price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medalist using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medalist charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Medalist Diversified Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Medalist Diversified Reit on the next trading day is expected to be 12.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medalist Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medalist Diversified's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Medalist Diversified Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Medalist Diversified | Medalist Diversified Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Medalist Diversified Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Medalist Diversified's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medalist Diversified's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.83 and 15.67, respectively. We have considered Medalist Diversified's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medalist Diversified stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medalist Diversified stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.646 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0289 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0232 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.705 |
Predictive Modules for Medalist Diversified
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medalist Diversified Reit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Medalist Diversified After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Medalist Diversified at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Medalist Diversified or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Medalist Diversified, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Medalist Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Medalist Diversified's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Medalist Diversified's historical news coverage. Medalist Diversified's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.09 and 15.91, respectively. We have considered Medalist Diversified's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Medalist Diversified is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medalist Diversified Reit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Medalist Diversified Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Medalist Diversified is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Medalist Diversified backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Medalist Diversified, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.42 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.00 | 12.50 | 0.00 |
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Medalist Diversified Hype Timeline
Medalist Diversified Reit is now traded for 12.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Medalist is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Medalist Diversified is about 22800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.00. About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Medalist Diversified Reit recorded a loss per share of 1.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of January 2026. The firm had 1:2 split on the 3rd of July 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medalist Diversified to cross-verify your projections.Medalist Diversified Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Medalist Diversified's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Medalist Diversified's future price movements. Getting to know how Medalist Diversified's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Medalist Diversified may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MKZR | MacKenzie Realty Capital | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.70 | (9.02) | 40.08 | |
| DUO | Fangdd Network Group | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 8.47 | (9.61) | 35.28 | |
| IHT | InnSuites Hospitality Trust | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.64 | (4.86) | 20.88 | |
| SQFT | Presidio Property Trust | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.91 | (11.17) | 35.71 | |
| GIPR | Generationome Properties | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.33 | (9.52) | 34.83 | |
| NYC | New York City | 0.08 | 9 per month | 3.56 | 0.01 | 5.49 | (6.19) | 15.38 | |
| GYRO | Gyrodyne Company of | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.46 | (2.89) | 8.14 | |
| LRE | Lead Real Estate | (0.03) | 8 per month | 5.31 | 0.01 | 11.46 | (8.88) | 55.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Medalist Diversified
For every potential investor in Medalist, whether a beginner or expert, Medalist Diversified's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medalist Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medalist. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medalist Diversified's price trends.Medalist Diversified Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medalist Diversified stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medalist Diversified could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medalist Diversified by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Medalist Diversified Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medalist Diversified stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medalist Diversified shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medalist Diversified stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medalist Diversified Reit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 46.92 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.02) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.16 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) |
Medalist Diversified Risk Indicators
The analysis of Medalist Diversified's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medalist Diversified's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medalist stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Variance | 10.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Medalist Diversified
The number of cover stories for Medalist Diversified depends on current market conditions and Medalist Diversified's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Medalist Diversified is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Medalist Diversified's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Medalist Diversified Short Properties
Medalist Diversified's future price predictability will typically decrease when Medalist Diversified's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Medalist Diversified Reit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Medalist Diversified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medalist Diversified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
Additional Tools for Medalist Stock Analysis
When running Medalist Diversified's price analysis, check to measure Medalist Diversified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medalist Diversified is operating at the current time. Most of Medalist Diversified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medalist Diversified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medalist Diversified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medalist Diversified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.