Merchants Financial Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Merchants Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Merchants price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Merchants Financial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Merchants Financial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Merchants Financial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Merchants Financial.

Merchants Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Merchants Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 34.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.31.

Merchants Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Merchants Financial Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Merchants Financial Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Merchants Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Merchants Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Merchants Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Merchants Financial Group observations.

Predictive Modules for Merchants Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merchants Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 33.30 34.11 34.92 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 31.69 32.50 37.52 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 28.31 31.27 34.23 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Merchants Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Merchants Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Merchants Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Merchants Financial.

Merchants Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Merchants Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Merchants Financial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Merchants Financial Hype Timeline

Merchants Financial is now traded for 34.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Merchants is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Merchants Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.11. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. Merchants Financial had 3:1 split on the 16th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Merchants Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Merchants Financial Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Merchants Financial

For every potential investor in Merchants, whether a beginner or expert, Merchants Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Merchants Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Merchants. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Merchants Financial's price trends.

Merchants Financial Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Merchants Financial Market Strength Events

Merchants Financial Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Merchants Financial

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