MidCap Financial Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| MFIC Stock | USD 11.12 0.00 0.00% |
20 Period Moving Average is applied to MidCap Financial Investment's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. AIC measures relative model quality — lower AIC values indicate a better-fitting model. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects MidCap Financial at 11.66 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This 20 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts MidCap Financial at 11.66 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 18.45 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of MidCap Financial's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MidCap Financial | MidCap Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for MidCap Financial reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The model places downside around 9.70 and upside around 13.62 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for MidCap Financial stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 80.0106 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3657 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4499 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0394 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.4462 |
Other Forecasting Options for MidCap Financial
The distribution of MidCap Financial's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This reveals hidden support and resistance zones in MidCap Financial's chart that simple price charts miss. The slope of MidCap Financial's linear regression channel quantifies trend direction and strength over a chosen lookback period. Divergences between OBV and price foreshadow trend changes in MidCap Financial.MidCap Financial Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as MidCap Financial within the Financials space and serve as useful points for comparison. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how MidCap Financial's capital structure stacks up against similar firms. How MidCap Financial ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes. The peer review below gives a clear framework for judging MidCap Financial's standing among rivals.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MidCap Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for MidCap Financial stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in MidCap Financial. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating MidCap Financial sessions. Persistent divergence between momentum indicators and price often precedes trend reversals in MidCap Financial.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0687 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.39 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.41 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.1 |
MidCap Financial Risk Indicators
Assessing MidCap Financial's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for midcap financial stock. The level of risk embedded in MidCap Financial's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing MidCap Financial's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses. These risk measures complement the price analysis above by framing how dispersed recent returns have been.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
MidCap Financial Short Properties
Short-interest data for MidCap Financial reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.26 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.45 million |