Mawson Infrastructure Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MIGI Stock | USD 3.52 0.65 22.65% |
Mawson Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Mawson Infrastructure's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mawson Infrastructure's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mawson Infrastructure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mawson Infrastructure Group from the perspective of Mawson Infrastructure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mawson Infrastructure Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.26. Mawson Infrastructure after-hype prediction price | USD 3.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mawson Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections. Mawson Infrastructure Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mawson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mawson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mawson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mawson Infrastructure Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mawson Infrastructure Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mawson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mawson Infrastructure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mawson Infrastructure Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mawson Infrastructure | Mawson Infrastructure Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mawson Infrastructure Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mawson Infrastructure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mawson Infrastructure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 16.07, respectively. We have considered Mawson Infrastructure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mawson Infrastructure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mawson Infrastructure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9016 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1737 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.471 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0884 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.26 |
Predictive Modules for Mawson Infrastructure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawson Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mawson Infrastructure After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mawson Infrastructure at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mawson Infrastructure or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mawson Infrastructure, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mawson Infrastructure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mawson Infrastructure's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mawson Infrastructure's historical news coverage. Mawson Infrastructure's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 16.08, respectively. We have considered Mawson Infrastructure's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mawson Infrastructure is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mawson Infrastructure is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mawson Infrastructure Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mawson Infrastructure is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mawson Infrastructure backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mawson Infrastructure, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.83 | 12.55 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.52 | 3.43 | 2.56 |
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Mawson Infrastructure Hype Timeline
Mawson Infrastructure is now traded for 3.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.3. Mawson is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.83%. The volatility of related hype on Mawson Infrastructure is about 7560.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.22. The company recorded a loss per share of 12.4. Mawson Infrastructure last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2018. The entity had 1:20 split on the 21st of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mawson Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections.Mawson Infrastructure Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mawson Infrastructure's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mawson Infrastructure's future price movements. Getting to know how Mawson Infrastructure's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mawson Infrastructure may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COHN | Cohen Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.86 | 0.14 | 13.40 | (11.12) | 44.38 | |
| ABTS | Abits Group | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.52 | (10.00) | 30.12 | |
| MCGA | MCGA | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.52) | 0.20 | (0.58) | 1.28 | |
| GREE | Greenidge Generation Holdings | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.46 | (10.93) | 57.17 | |
| LMFA | LM Funding America | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 9.09 | (10.17) | 26.83 | |
| AACI | Armada Acquisition Corp | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.42 | (0.11) | 0.67 | (0.67) | 4.98 | |
| PRHI | Presurance Holdings | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 11.11 | (10.95) | 39.14 | |
| MAQC | Maquia Capital Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.06 | |
| HSPO | Horizon Space Acquisition | (1.64) | 2 per month | 3.38 | 0 | 2.46 | (3.24) | 61.25 | |
| OACCW | Oaktree Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.79 | 0.04 | 30.99 | (22.45) | 44.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mawson Infrastructure
For every potential investor in Mawson, whether a beginner or expert, Mawson Infrastructure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mawson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mawson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mawson Infrastructure's price trends.Mawson Infrastructure Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mawson Infrastructure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mawson Infrastructure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mawson Infrastructure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mawson Infrastructure Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mawson Infrastructure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mawson Infrastructure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mawson Infrastructure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mawson Infrastructure Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mawson Infrastructure Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mawson Infrastructure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mawson Infrastructure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mawson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.55 | |||
| Variance | 157.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mawson Infrastructure
The number of cover stories for Mawson Infrastructure depends on current market conditions and Mawson Infrastructure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mawson Infrastructure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mawson Infrastructure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Mawson Infrastructure Short Properties
Mawson Infrastructure's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mawson Infrastructure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mawson Infrastructure Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mawson Infrastructure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mawson Infrastructure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 891.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mawson Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is there potential for Asset Management & Custody Banks market expansion? Will Mawson introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mawson Infrastructure. Expected growth trajectory for Mawson significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Mawson Infrastructure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Investors evaluate Mawson Infrastructure using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mawson Infrastructure's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mawson Infrastructure's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mawson Infrastructure's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mawson Infrastructure represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mawson Infrastructure's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.