Mawson Infrastructure Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MIGI Stock  USD 2.14  0.06  2.88%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mawson Infrastructure Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96. Mawson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mawson Infrastructure's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Mawson Infrastructure's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Mawson Infrastructure's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.79, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.59. . The Mawson Infrastructure's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 16.4 M, while Net Loss is forecasted to increase to (45.1 M).
Triple exponential smoothing for Mawson Infrastructure - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Mawson Infrastructure prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Mawson Infrastructure price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Mawson Infrastructure.

Mawson Infrastructure Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mawson Infrastructure Group on the next trading day is expected to be 2.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mawson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mawson Infrastructure's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mawson Infrastructure Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mawson Infrastructure Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mawson Infrastructure's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mawson Infrastructure's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 10.01, respectively. We have considered Mawson Infrastructure's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.14
2.17
Expected Value
10.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mawson Infrastructure stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mawson Infrastructure stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0189
MADMean absolute deviation0.101
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0655
SAESum of the absolute errors5.9597
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Mawson Infrastructure observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Mawson Infrastructure Group observations.

Predictive Modules for Mawson Infrastructure

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawson Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.1010.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.789.69
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mawson Infrastructure. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mawson Infrastructure's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mawson Infrastructure's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mawson Infrastructure.

Other Forecasting Options for Mawson Infrastructure

For every potential investor in Mawson, whether a beginner or expert, Mawson Infrastructure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mawson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mawson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mawson Infrastructure's price trends.

Mawson Infrastructure Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mawson Infrastructure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mawson Infrastructure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mawson Infrastructure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mawson Infrastructure Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mawson Infrastructure's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mawson Infrastructure's current price.

Mawson Infrastructure Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mawson Infrastructure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mawson Infrastructure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mawson Infrastructure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mawson Infrastructure Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mawson Infrastructure Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mawson Infrastructure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mawson Infrastructure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mawson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Mawson Infrastructure offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mawson Infrastructure's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mawson Infrastructure Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mawson Infrastructure Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mawson Infrastructure to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mawson Infrastructure. If investors know Mawson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mawson Infrastructure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Earnings Share
(3.13)
Revenue Per Share
3.406
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.243
Return On Assets
(0.32)
The market value of Mawson Infrastructure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mawson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mawson Infrastructure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mawson Infrastructure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mawson Infrastructure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mawson Infrastructure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mawson Infrastructure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mawson Infrastructure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mawson Infrastructure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.