Markel Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| MKL Stock | USD 2,039 4.66 0.23% |
Markel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Markel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Markel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Markel fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength indicator of Markel's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Markel, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 24.335 | EPS Estimate Current Year 104.1175 | EPS Estimate Next Year 111.695 | Wall Street Target Price 2 K |
Using Markel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Markel from the perspective of Markel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Markel using Markel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Markel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Markel's stock price.
Markel Short Interest
An investor who is long Markel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Markel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Markel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2 K | Short Percent 0.0158 | Short Ratio 5.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 220.3 K | 50 Day MA 2.1 K |
Markel Relative Strength Index
Markel Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Markel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Markel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Markel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Markel. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Markel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Markel.
Markel Implied Volatility | 0.25 |
Markel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Markel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Markel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Markel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Markel's options are near their expiration.
Markel after-hype prediction price | USD 2038.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Markel to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Markel contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Markel will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0156% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Markel trading at USD 2038.65, that is roughly USD 0.32 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Markel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Markel options at the current volatility level of 0.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Markel Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Markel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Markel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Markel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Markel's open interest, investors have to compare it to Markel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Markel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Markel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Markel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Markel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Markel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Markel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 938.2 | 574.9 |
| Check Markel Volatility | Backtest Markel | Information Ratio |
Markel Trading Date Momentum
| On February 03 2026 Markel was traded for 2,039 at the closing time. Highest Markel's price during the trading hours was 2,050 and the lowest price during the day was 2,014 . The net volume was 32.3 K. The overall trading history on the 3rd of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.73% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Markel to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Markel
For every potential investor in Markel, whether a beginner or expert, Markel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Markel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Markel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Markel's price trends.Markel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Markel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Markel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Markel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Markel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Markel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Markel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Markel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Markel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Markel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Markel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Markel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting markel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7492 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4976 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Variance | 1.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4955 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2476 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Markel
The number of cover stories for Markel depends on current market conditions and Markel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Markel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Markel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Markel Short Properties
Markel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Markel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Markel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Markel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Markel to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Markel Stock please use our How to buy in Markel Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Markel. Expected growth trajectory for Markel significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Markel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Earnings Share 159.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Markel using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Markel's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Markel's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Markel's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Markel represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Markel's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.