MoneyLion Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

MLDelisted Stock  USD 85.90  0.61  0.72%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 85.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.72. MoneyLion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of MoneyLion's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MoneyLion's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MoneyLion and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MoneyLion's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MoneyLion, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using MoneyLion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MoneyLion from the perspective of MoneyLion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 85.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.72.

MoneyLion after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 85.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

MoneyLion Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MoneyLion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MoneyLion using various technical indicators. When you analyze MoneyLion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for MoneyLion works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

MoneyLion Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 85.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MoneyLion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MoneyLion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MoneyLion Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MoneyLionMoneyLion Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MoneyLion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MoneyLion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0732
MADMean absolute deviation0.3851
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0044
SAESum of the absolute errors22.72
When MoneyLion prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any MoneyLion trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent MoneyLion observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for MoneyLion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MoneyLion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.9085.9085.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.3373.3394.49
Details

MoneyLion Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MoneyLion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MoneyLion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MoneyLion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MoneyLion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MoneyLion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MoneyLion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MoneyLion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MoneyLion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

Other Consideration for investing in MoneyLion Stock

If you are still planning to invest in MoneyLion check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MoneyLion's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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