Marcus Millichap Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MMI Stock | USD 24.55 1.57 6.01% |
Marcus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Marcus Millichap's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Marcus Millichap's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.23 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.56 | Wall Street Target Price 28 |
Using Marcus Millichap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marcus Millichap from the perspective of Marcus Millichap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marcus Millichap using Marcus Millichap's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marcus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marcus Millichap's stock price.
Marcus Millichap Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Marcus Millichap's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Marcus. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Marcus Millichap stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 29.6672 | Short Percent 0.0213 | Short Ratio 1.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 385 K | 50 Day MA 27.419 |
Marcus Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marcus Millichap on the next trading day is expected to be 24.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.60.Marcus Millichap Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Marcus Millichap's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marcus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marcus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marcus Millichap. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marcus Millichap's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marcus Millichap.
Marcus Millichap Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Marcus Millichap's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marcus Millichap stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marcus Millichap's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marcus Millichap stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marcus Millichap's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marcus Millichap on the next trading day is expected to be 24.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.60. Marcus Millichap after-hype prediction price | USD 26.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marcus Millichap to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marcus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marcus Millichap will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Marcus Millichap trading at USD 24.55, that is roughly USD 0.0161 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marcus Millichap's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marcus Millichap options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Marcus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Marcus Millichap's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Marcus Millichap's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Marcus Millichap stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Marcus Millichap's open interest, investors have to compare it to Marcus Millichap's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Marcus Millichap is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Marcus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Marcus Millichap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marcus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marcus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marcus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Marcus Millichap Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Marcus Millichap on the next trading day is expected to be 24.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marcus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marcus Millichap's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Marcus Millichap Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Marcus Millichap | Marcus Millichap Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Marcus Millichap Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Marcus Millichap's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marcus Millichap's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.76 and 26.34, respectively. We have considered Marcus Millichap's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marcus Millichap stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marcus Millichap stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9911 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0747 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3933 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.6 |
Predictive Modules for Marcus Millichap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marcus Millichap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marcus Millichap After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marcus Millichap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marcus Millichap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marcus Millichap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marcus Millichap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marcus Millichap's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marcus Millichap's historical news coverage. Marcus Millichap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.47 and 28.05, respectively. We have considered Marcus Millichap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marcus Millichap is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marcus Millichap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marcus Millichap Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marcus Millichap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marcus Millichap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marcus Millichap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.79 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.55 | 26.26 | 0.54 |
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Marcus Millichap Hype Timeline
On the 12th of February 2026 Marcus Millichap is traded for 24.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Marcus is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Marcus Millichap is about 14645.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.55. The company reported the last year's revenue of 696.06 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 283.55 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marcus Millichap to cross-verify your projections.Marcus Millichap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marcus Millichap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marcus Millichap's future price movements. Getting to know how Marcus Millichap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marcus Millichap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 5.19 | (5.78) | 15.42 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.25 | 34 per month | 1.30 | 0.07 | 3.16 | (2.48) | 7.04 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.15 | 2.36 | (1.89) | 8.51 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.17 | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.05 | 1.74 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.06 | 2.31 | (1.86) | 5.50 | |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.89 | (6.32) | 17.41 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | (0.37) | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.07 | 2.65 | (1.75) | 6.92 | |
| NHPBP | National Healthcare Properties | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.42 | 0.07 | 1.41 | (1.08) | 5.50 | |
| NLOP | Net Lease Office | 0.22 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.85 | (1.87) | 7.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Marcus Millichap
For every potential investor in Marcus, whether a beginner or expert, Marcus Millichap's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marcus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marcus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marcus Millichap's price trends.Marcus Millichap Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marcus Millichap stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marcus Millichap could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marcus Millichap by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Marcus Millichap Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marcus Millichap stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marcus Millichap shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marcus Millichap stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marcus Millichap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.57) |
Marcus Millichap Risk Indicators
The analysis of Marcus Millichap's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marcus Millichap's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marcus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Marcus Millichap
The number of cover stories for Marcus Millichap depends on current market conditions and Marcus Millichap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marcus Millichap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marcus Millichap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marcus Millichap Short Properties
Marcus Millichap's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marcus Millichap's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marcus Millichap often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marcus Millichap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marcus Millichap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 349.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marcus Millichap to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Marcus Stock please use our How to Invest in Marcus Millichap guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is there potential for Real Estate Management & Development market expansion? Will Marcus introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marcus Millichap. Expected growth trajectory for Marcus significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Marcus Millichap listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share (0.17) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 |
Marcus Millichap's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Marcus's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Marcus Millichap's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Marcus Millichap's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Marcus Millichap's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Marcus Millichap represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Marcus Millichap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.