Modine Manufacturing Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MOD Stock | USD 145.99 1.53 1.04% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Modine Manufacturing on the next trading day is expected to be 146.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.37. Modine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Modine Manufacturing stock prices and determine the direction of Modine Manufacturing's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Modine Manufacturing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Modine Manufacturing's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.124 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6729 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.3515 | Wall Street Target Price 183 |
Using Modine Manufacturing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Modine Manufacturing from the perspective of Modine Manufacturing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Modine Manufacturing using Modine Manufacturing's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Modine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Modine Manufacturing's stock price.
Modine Manufacturing Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Modine Manufacturing's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Modine. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Modine Manufacturing stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 123.7631 | Short Percent 0.1105 | Short Ratio 4.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 141.809 |
Modine Manufacturing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Modine Manufacturing's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Modine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Modine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Modine Manufacturing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Modine Manufacturing Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Modine Manufacturing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Modine Manufacturing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Modine Manufacturing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Modine Manufacturing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Modine Manufacturing's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Modine Manufacturing on the next trading day is expected to be 146.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.37. Modine Manufacturing after-hype prediction price | USD 145.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Modine Manufacturing to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Modine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Modine Manufacturing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Modine Manufacturing trading at USD 145.99, that is roughly USD 0.0648 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Modine Manufacturing's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Modine Manufacturing options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Modine Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Modine Manufacturing's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Modine Manufacturing's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Modine Manufacturing stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Modine Manufacturing's open interest, investors have to compare it to Modine Manufacturing's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Modine Manufacturing is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Modine. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Modine Manufacturing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Modine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Modine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Modine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Modine Manufacturing Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Modine Manufacturing on the next trading day is expected to be 146.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.31, mean absolute percentage error of 51.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Modine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Modine Manufacturing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Modine Manufacturing Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Modine Manufacturing | Modine Manufacturing Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Modine Manufacturing Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Modine Manufacturing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Modine Manufacturing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 142.49 and 151.02, respectively. We have considered Modine Manufacturing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Modine Manufacturing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Modine Manufacturing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3727 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.4031 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.3114 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0376 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 313.37 |
Predictive Modules for Modine Manufacturing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Modine Manufacturing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Modine Manufacturing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Modine Manufacturing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Modine Manufacturing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Modine Manufacturing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Modine Manufacturing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Modine Manufacturing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Modine Manufacturing's historical news coverage. Modine Manufacturing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.72 and 150.24, respectively. We have considered Modine Manufacturing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Modine Manufacturing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Modine Manufacturing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Modine Manufacturing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Modine Manufacturing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Modine Manufacturing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 4.26 | 0.01 | 0.63 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
145.99 | 145.98 | 0.01 |
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Modine Manufacturing Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Modine Manufacturing is traded for 145.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.63. Modine is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 145.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Modine Manufacturing is about 60.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.36. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. Modine Manufacturing last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2008. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of February 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Modine Manufacturing to cross-verify your projections.Modine Manufacturing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Modine Manufacturing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. Getting to know how Modine Manufacturing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Modine Manufacturing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.07 | 3.36 | (2.55) | 9.62 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.07 | 3.51 | (2.90) | 8.11 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | 1.97 | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 2.85 | (2.47) | 6.91 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | (1.27) | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0 | 4.18 | (2.97) | 9.56 | |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | 0.84 | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.25 | 3.31 | (1.54) | 6.81 | |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness | (73.65) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.01 | (3.30) | 18.44 | |
| AN | AutoNation | 0.27 | 4 per month | 1.27 | 0.06 | 3.06 | (2.06) | 8.76 | |
| LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | (0.04) | 3.64 | (3.46) | 8.59 | |
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd | 3.05 | 28 per month | 2.36 | (0) | 3.29 | (3.66) | 15.20 | |
| QS | QuantumScape Class | (1.68) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.14 | (7.74) | 28.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Modine Manufacturing
For every potential investor in Modine, whether a beginner or expert, Modine Manufacturing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Modine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Modine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Modine Manufacturing's price trends.Modine Manufacturing Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Modine Manufacturing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Modine Manufacturing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Modine Manufacturing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Modine Manufacturing Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Modine Manufacturing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Modine Manufacturing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Modine Manufacturing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Modine Manufacturing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24081.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.27) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 145.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 145.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.53) |
Modine Manufacturing Risk Indicators
The analysis of Modine Manufacturing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Modine Manufacturing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting modine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Variance | 17.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Modine Manufacturing
The number of cover stories for Modine Manufacturing depends on current market conditions and Modine Manufacturing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Modine Manufacturing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Modine Manufacturing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Modine Manufacturing Short Properties
Modine Manufacturing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Modine Manufacturing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Modine Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Modine Manufacturing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Modine Manufacturing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Modine Manufacturing to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Modine Stock refer to our How to Trade Modine Stock guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Modine Manufacturing. If investors know Modine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Modine Manufacturing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 3.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Modine Manufacturing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Modine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Modine Manufacturing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Modine Manufacturing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Modine Manufacturing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Modine Manufacturing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Modine Manufacturing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Modine Manufacturing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Modine Manufacturing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.