Citi Trends Stock Price Prediction
| CTRN Stock | USD 26.39 0.22 0.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.88) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.27) | Wall Street Target Price 28 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.75) |
Using Citi Trends hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citi Trends from the perspective of Citi Trends response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Citi Trends using Citi Trends' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Citi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Citi Trends' stock price.
Citi Trends Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
Citi Trends' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citi Trends stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citi Trends' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citi Trends stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citi Trends' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citi Trends to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Citi Trends after-hype prediction price | USD 27.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Citi contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Citi Trends will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Citi Trends trading at USD 26.39, that is roughly USD 0.015 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Citi Trends' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Citi Trends options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Citi |
Citi Trends After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citi Trends at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citi Trends or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Citi Trends, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citi Trends Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citi Trends' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citi Trends' historical news coverage. Citi Trends' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.61 and 30.69, respectively. We have considered Citi Trends' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citi Trends is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citi Trends is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citi Trends Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citi Trends is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citi Trends backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citi Trends, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 3.54 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.39 | 27.15 | 4.46 |
|
Citi Trends Hype Timeline
Citi Trends is currently traded for 26.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Citi is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 4.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on Citi Trends is about 2008.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.50. Citi Trends currently holds about 27.91 M in cash with (9.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Citi Trends Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Citi Trends Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citi Trends' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citi Trends' future price movements. Getting to know how Citi Trends' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citi Trends may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JILL | JJill Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.98 | 0.08 | 3.84 | (2.84) | 11.63 | |
| ZUMZ | Zumiez Inc | 0.35 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.80 | (5.74) | 21.07 | |
| TLYS | Tillys Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.36 | 0.01 | 7.29 | (5.51) | 17.25 | |
| DLTH | Duluth Holdings | 0.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.16 | (5.24) | 15.28 | |
| GCO | Genesco | 0.01 | 13 per month | 2.32 | 0.17 | 8.39 | (3.81) | 16.98 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.11 | 2.88 | (2.21) | 9.59 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.91 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.29 | (4.22) | 12.45 |
Citi Trends Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Citi Trends Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Citi Trends stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citi Trends, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citi Trends based on analysis of Citi Trends hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citi Trends's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citi Trends's related companies. | 2020 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001371 | 0.0108 | 0.0117 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.31 | 0.51 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Citi Trends
The number of cover stories for Citi Trends depends on current market conditions and Citi Trends' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citi Trends is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citi Trends' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Citi Trends Short Properties
Citi Trends' future price predictability will typically decrease when Citi Trends' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citi Trends often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citi Trends' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citi Trends' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 79.7 M |
Check out Citi Trends Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citi Trends. If investors know Citi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citi Trends listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share (3.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.017 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Citi Trends is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citi Trends' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citi Trends' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citi Trends' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citi Trends' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citi Trends' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citi Trends is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citi Trends' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.