Millrose Properties Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

MRP Stock   31.02  0.48  1.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Millrose Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 31.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.07. Millrose Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Millrose Properties' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Millrose Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Millrose Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Millrose Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Millrose Properties from the perspective of Millrose Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Millrose Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 31.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.07.

Millrose Properties after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Millrose Properties to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Millrose Stock, please use our How to Invest in Millrose Properties guide.

Millrose Properties Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Millrose price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Millrose using various technical indicators. When you analyze Millrose charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Millrose Properties is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Millrose Properties Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Millrose Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 31.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Millrose Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Millrose Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Millrose Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Millrose PropertiesMillrose Properties Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Millrose Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Millrose Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Millrose Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.15 and 32.89, respectively. We have considered Millrose Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.02
31.02
Expected Value
32.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Millrose Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Millrose Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0263
MADMean absolute deviation0.4927
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors29.07
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Millrose Properties price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Millrose Properties. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Millrose Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Millrose Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1531.0232.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7830.6532.53
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Millrose Properties

For every potential investor in Millrose, whether a beginner or expert, Millrose Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Millrose Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Millrose. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Millrose Properties' price trends.

Millrose Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Millrose Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Millrose Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Millrose Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Millrose Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Millrose Properties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Millrose Properties' current price.

Millrose Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Millrose Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Millrose Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Millrose Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Millrose Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Millrose Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Millrose Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Millrose Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting millrose stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Millrose Properties

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Millrose Properties position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Millrose Properties will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Millrose Stock

  0.64TUXS TuxisPairCorr
  0.52FYBR Frontier CommunicationsPairCorr
  0.46SMEGF Siemens Energy AGPairCorr
  0.45BHKLY BOC Hong KongPairCorr
  0.45WSFS WSFS FinancialPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Millrose Properties could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Millrose Properties when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Millrose Properties - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Millrose Properties to buy it.
The correlation of Millrose Properties is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Millrose Properties moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Millrose Properties moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Millrose Properties can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Millrose Stock Analysis

When running Millrose Properties' price analysis, check to measure Millrose Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Millrose Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Millrose Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Millrose Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Millrose Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Millrose Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.