Marvell Technology Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| MRVL Stock | USD 168.75 5.09 3.11% |
Marvell Technology's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Marvell Technology at 166.53 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Marvell Technology at 166.53 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 5.45 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and sum of absolute errors of 310.86 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Marvell Technology's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Marvell Technology | Marvell Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Marvell Technology frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The model places downside around 162.39 and upside around 170.66 for the next session. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Marvell Technology stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6681 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.8185 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.4536 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0469 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 310.8575 |
Other Forecasting Options for Marvell Technology
Volume-weighted price analysis for Marvell Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line identify shifts in Marvell momentum before they appear in raw price.Marvell Technology Related Equities
Investors studying Marvell Technology often look at related stocks within the Information Technology space to gauge pricing and results. Checking Marvell Technology against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. Identifying peers that steadily beat or lag Marvell Technology across many periods highlights durable competitive gaps.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Marvell Technology Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Marvell Technology Group, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Marvell Technology.
Marvell Technology Risk Indicators
Analyzing Marvell Technology's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for marvell stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Marvell Technology.
| Mean Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.14 | |||
| Variance | 17.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Marvell Technology Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Marvell Technology is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 869.7 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.64 billion |