Northeast Bancorp Stock Forward View

NBN Stock  USD 124.65  -0.98  -0.78%   
The Naive Prediction output for Northeast Bancorp is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The Naive Prediction model projects Northeast Bancorp at 126.77 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. Northeast Bancorp's Naive Prediction forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Northeast Bancorp Cash Forecast

The forecast of Northeast Bancorp's future cash flows is built on systematic analysis of historical financial statements. Recurring patterns in Northeast Bancorp's financial data may predict future operating performance. Identifying stable patterns in Northeast Bancorp's historical data and adjusting for structural changes is the first step.
 
Cash  
 First Reported
1989-12-31
 Previous Quarter
446.22 million
 Current Value
2.4 million
 Quarterly Volatility
126.92 million
Macro event markers
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Northeast Bancorp is a special case of the moving average where the smoothing period is one. The forecast for Northeast Bancorp on a given trading day is simply the observed closing price of the previous period. Because it uses only a single lag, this model is limited to one-period-ahead forecasts.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Northeast Bancorp at 126.77 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 100.40 .
This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Northeast Bancorp's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Northeast Bancorp  Northeast Bancorp Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

Northeast Bancorp's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The model places downside around 125.00 and upside around 128.53 for the next session. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Market Value
124.65
125.00
126.77
Expected Value
128.53

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Northeast Bancorp stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5024
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.6459
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors100.3975
The naive model produces a tight forecast range but offers no smoothing of noise or trend detection. It serves primarily as a baseline benchmark — if a more complex model cannot outperform the naive forecast, it may indicate that Northeast Bancorp price movements are largely random over the selected horizon.

Other Forecasting Options for Northeast Bancorp

Relative Strength Index values for Northeast measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in Northeast Bancorp's returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of Northeast Stock daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals.

Northeast Bancorp Related Equities

The stocks listed below are peers of Northeast Bancorp within the Financials space and offer context for ranking and strength. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Northeast Bancorp's results. Identifying peers that steadily beat or lag Northeast Bancorp across many periods highlights durable competitive gaps.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Northeast Bancorp Market Strength Events

Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Northeast Bancorp reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Northeast Bancorp near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Northeast Bancorp.

Northeast Bancorp Risk Indicators

Risk indicator analysis for Northeast Bancorp quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Northeast Bancorp have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Northeast Bancorp's price.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Northeast Bancorp Short Properties

Short-interest signals around Northeast Bancorp reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.28 million
Cash And Short Term Investments428.93 million

More Resources for Northeast Stock Analysis

Initial analysis of Northeast Bancorp centers on its financial statements and observed trends. Ratio analysis outlines performance across profit, efficiency, and growth.