NBT Bancorp Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| NBTB Stock | USD 45.58 0.71 1.53% |
NBT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NBT Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of NBT Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NBT Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of NBT Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9983 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.212 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.612 | Wall Street Target Price 48.5 |
Using NBT Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NBT Bancorp from the perspective of NBT Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NBT Bancorp using NBT Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NBT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NBT Bancorp's stock price.
NBT Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in NBT Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards NBT. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of NBT Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 42.4226 | Short Percent 0.0209 | Short Ratio 3.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 870.1 K | 50 Day MA 43.2952 |
NBT Relative Strength Index
NBT Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NBT Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NBT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NBT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NBT Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NBT Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NBT Bancorp.
NBT Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
NBT Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NBT Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NBT Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NBT Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when NBT Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
NBT Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 45.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NBT Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NBT contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NBT Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With NBT Bancorp trading at USD 45.58, that is roughly USD 0.0182 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NBT Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NBT Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 NBT Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NBT Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NBT Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NBT Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NBT Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to NBT Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NBT Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NBT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NBT Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NBT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NBT using various technical indicators. When you analyze NBT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 2038.37 | 3868.11 |
| Check NBT Bancorp Volatility | Backtest NBT Bancorp | Information Ratio |
NBT Bancorp Trading Date Momentum
| On February 10 2026 NBT Bancorp was traded for 45.58 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 46.50 and the lowest listed price was 45.35 . The trading volume for the day was 156.4 K. The trading history from February 10, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.23% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare NBT Bancorp to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for NBT Bancorp
For every potential investor in NBT, whether a beginner or expert, NBT Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NBT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NBT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NBT Bancorp's price trends.NBT Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NBT Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NBT Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NBT Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NBT Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NBT Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NBT Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NBT Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NBT Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3868.11 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.62) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 45.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 45.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.71) |
NBT Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of NBT Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NBT Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nbt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NBT Bancorp
The number of cover stories for NBT Bancorp depends on current market conditions and NBT Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NBT Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NBT Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
NBT Bancorp Short Properties
NBT Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when NBT Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NBT Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NBT Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NBT Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NBT Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NBT Stock refer to our How to Trade NBT Stock guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NBT Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of NBT directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive NBT Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | Dividend Share 1.42 | Earnings Share 3.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.24 |
The market value of NBT Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NBT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NBT Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NBT Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NBT Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NBT Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NBT Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NBT Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, NBT Bancorp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.