Norwegian Cruise Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| NCLH Stock | USD 22.70 1.91 9.19% |
Norwegian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Norwegian Cruise's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Norwegian Cruise's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Norwegian Cruise, making its price go up or down. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3043 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0977 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6308 | Wall Street Target Price 27.7046 |
Using Norwegian Cruise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Norwegian Cruise Line from the perspective of Norwegian Cruise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Norwegian Cruise using Norwegian Cruise's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Norwegian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Norwegian Cruise's stock price.
Norwegian Cruise Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Norwegian Cruise's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Norwegian. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Norwegian Cruise stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.3942 | Short Percent 0.1148 | Short Ratio 2.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 40.6 M | 50 Day MA 20.8758 |
Norwegian Relative Strength Index
Norwegian Cruise Line Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Norwegian Cruise's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Norwegian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Norwegian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Norwegian Cruise Line. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Norwegian Cruise's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Norwegian Cruise.
Norwegian Cruise Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Norwegian Cruise Line stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Norwegian Cruise stock will not fluctuate a lot when Norwegian Cruise's options are near their expiration.
Norwegian Cruise after-hype prediction price | USD 20.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Norwegian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Norwegian Cruise Line will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Norwegian Cruise trading at USD 22.7, that is roughly USD 0.0129 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Norwegian Cruise's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Norwegian Cruise Line options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Norwegian Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Norwegian Cruise's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Norwegian Cruise's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Norwegian Cruise stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Norwegian Cruise's open interest, investors have to compare it to Norwegian Cruise's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Norwegian Cruise is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Norwegian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Norwegian Cruise Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Norwegian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norwegian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norwegian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 600832.0 | 0.0841 |
| Check Norwegian Cruise Volatility | Backtest Norwegian Cruise | Information Ratio |
Norwegian Cruise Trading Date Momentum
| On January 29 2026 Norwegian Cruise Line was traded for 22.70 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 22.70 and the lowest listed price was 20.79 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 29, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 8.41% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Norwegian Cruise to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Norwegian Cruise
For every potential investor in Norwegian, whether a beginner or expert, Norwegian Cruise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Norwegian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Norwegian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Norwegian Cruise's price trends.Norwegian Cruise Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Norwegian Cruise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Norwegian Cruise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Norwegian Cruise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Norwegian Cruise Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Norwegian Cruise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Norwegian Cruise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Norwegian Cruise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Norwegian Cruise Line entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Norwegian Cruise Risk Indicators
The analysis of Norwegian Cruise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Norwegian Cruise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting norwegian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Norwegian Cruise
The number of cover stories for Norwegian Cruise depends on current market conditions and Norwegian Cruise's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norwegian Cruise is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norwegian Cruise's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Norwegian Cruise Short Properties
Norwegian Cruise's future price predictability will typically decrease when Norwegian Cruise's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Norwegian Cruise Line often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Norwegian Cruise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norwegian Cruise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 515 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 190.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Norwegian Cruise to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is there potential for Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines market expansion? Will Norwegian introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. Anticipated expansion of Norwegian directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Earnings Share 1.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Line is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Norwegian Cruise's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Norwegian Cruise should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Norwegian Cruise's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.