National CineMedia Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| NCMI Stock | USD 3.26 0.11 3.26% |
National Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of National CineMedia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of National CineMedia's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.39 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 5.5 |
Using National CineMedia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National CineMedia from the perspective of National CineMedia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National CineMedia using National CineMedia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National CineMedia's stock price.
National CineMedia Implied Volatility | 1.28 |
National CineMedia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National CineMedia stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National CineMedia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National CineMedia stock will not fluctuate a lot when National CineMedia's options are near their expiration.
National CineMedia after-hype prediction price | USD 3.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National CineMedia to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 National Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast National CineMedia's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in National CineMedia's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for National CineMedia stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current National CineMedia's open interest, investors have to compare it to National CineMedia's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of National CineMedia is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in National. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
National CineMedia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 8418.66 | 0.0031 |
| Check National CineMedia Volatility | Backtest National CineMedia | Information Ratio |
National CineMedia Trading Date Momentum
| On February 12 2026 National CineMedia was traded for 3.26 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 3.26 and the lowest listed price was 3.25 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 12, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 3.37% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare National CineMedia to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for National CineMedia
For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National CineMedia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National CineMedia's price trends.National CineMedia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National CineMedia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National CineMedia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National CineMedia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
National CineMedia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National CineMedia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National CineMedia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National CineMedia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify National CineMedia entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
National CineMedia Risk Indicators
The analysis of National CineMedia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National CineMedia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for National CineMedia
The number of cover stories for National CineMedia depends on current market conditions and National CineMedia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National CineMedia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National CineMedia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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National CineMedia Short Properties
National CineMedia's future price predictability will typically decrease when National CineMedia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of National CineMedia often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential National CineMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National CineMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National CineMedia to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is there potential for Advertising market expansion? Will National introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National CineMedia. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about National CineMedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | Dividend Share 0.06 | Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
National CineMedia's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on National's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate National CineMedia's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since National CineMedia's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between National CineMedia's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National CineMedia should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, National CineMedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.