Netcapital Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| NCPL Stock | USD 0.40 0.02 5.26% |
Netcapital's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Netcapital at 0.40 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Netcapital at 0.40 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.07 , and sum of absolute errors of 1.80 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in Netcapital's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Netcapital | Netcapital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Netcapital reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The projected band runs from roughly 0.004 on the downside to about 6.22 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Netcapital stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.3037 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0061 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0316 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0743 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.8 |
Other Forecasting Options for Netcapital
Bollinger Bands applied to Netcapital Stock price data measure how far Netcapital has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Netcapital's price data.Netcapital Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Financials space frame Netcapital's pricing and running costs in context. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Netcapital's peer group. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Netcapital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Netcapital quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Netcapital.
Netcapital Risk Indicators
Analyzing Netcapital's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Netcapital helps place recent price behavior in context.
| Mean Deviation | 4.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.95 | |||
| Variance | 35.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Netcapital Short Properties
Short-interest data for Netcapital reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.39 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 289,428 |