Netcapital Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NCPL Stock | USD 0.61 0.04 7.02% |
Netcapital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Netcapital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Netcapital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Netcapital fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Netcapital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 2.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.29) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.70) |
Using Netcapital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Netcapital from the perspective of Netcapital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Netcapital Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Netcapital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.Netcapital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Netcapital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Netcapital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Netcapital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Netcapital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Netcapital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Netcapital.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Netcapital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67. Netcapital after-hype prediction price | USD 0.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Netcapital | Build AI portfolio with Netcapital Stock |
Netcapital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Netcapital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Netcapital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Netcapital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Netcapital Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Netcapital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Netcapital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Netcapital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Netcapital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Netcapital | Netcapital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Netcapital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Netcapital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Netcapital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 18.54, respectively. We have considered Netcapital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Netcapital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Netcapital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.9047 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0336 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0961 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1055 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.67 |
Predictive Modules for Netcapital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netcapital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Netcapital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Netcapital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Netcapital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Netcapital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Netcapital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Netcapital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Netcapital's historical news coverage. Netcapital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 18.52, respectively. We have considered Netcapital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Netcapital is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Netcapital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Netcapital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Netcapital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Netcapital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Netcapital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 17.93 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.61 | 0.62 | 8.77 |
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Netcapital Hype Timeline
Netcapital is now traded for 0.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Netcapital is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 8.77%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Netcapital is about 85380.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.60. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1679) % which means that it has lost $0.1679 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.9967) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Netcapital's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Netcapital manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -4.31. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.59 this year. At this time, Netcapital's Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Net Tangible Assets is expected to rise to about 11.7 M this year, although the value of Total Current Assets will most likely fall to about 436.6 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Netcapital to cross-verify your projections.Netcapital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Netcapital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Netcapital's future price movements. Getting to know how Netcapital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Netcapital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MEGL | Magic Empire Global | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.04 | (6.57) | 39.73 | |
| GSIW | Garden Stage Limited | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.69 | (7.14) | 19.17 | |
| SSEAU | Starry Sea Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.34 | |
| CIIT | Tianci International Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.61 | 0.02 | 13.16 | (8.33) | 50.34 | |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.37 | (0.19) | 0.75 | |
| ATON | AlphaTON Capital Corp | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 22.67 | (16.67) | 72.09 | |
| OXBR | Oxbridge Re Holdings | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.63 | (7.46) | 19.81 | |
| HVII | Hennessy Capital Investment | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.48 | (0.67) | 2.79 | |
| GIWWR | GigCapital8 Corp Rights | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.90 | (11.43) | 33.15 | |
| SHFS | SHF Holdings | (0.24) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 12.50 | (9.73) | 30.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Netcapital
For every potential investor in Netcapital, whether a beginner or expert, Netcapital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Netcapital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Netcapital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Netcapital's price trends.Netcapital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Netcapital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Netcapital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Netcapital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Netcapital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Netcapital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Netcapital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Netcapital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Netcapital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Netcapital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Netcapital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Netcapital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netcapital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 17.27 | |||
| Variance | 298.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Netcapital
The number of cover stories for Netcapital depends on current market conditions and Netcapital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Netcapital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Netcapital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Netcapital Short Properties
Netcapital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Netcapital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Netcapital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Netcapital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Netcapital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 289.4 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Netcapital to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Netcapital Stock please use our How to buy in Netcapital Stock guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Netcapital. Anticipated expansion of Netcapital directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Netcapital assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share (15.31) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.70) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Netcapital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Netcapital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Netcapital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Netcapital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Netcapital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Netcapital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Netcapital's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Netcapital should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Netcapital's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.