Nouveau Monde Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NMG Stock | USD 2.34 0.33 12.36% |
Nouveau Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nouveau Monde's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Nouveau Monde's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nouveau Monde, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.81) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.27) | Wall Street Target Price 6.2322 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.09) |
Using Nouveau Monde hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nouveau Monde Graphite from the perspective of Nouveau Monde response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nouveau Monde using Nouveau Monde's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nouveau using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nouveau Monde's stock price.
Nouveau Monde Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nouveau Monde's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nouveau. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nouveau Monde stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.3166 | Short Percent 0.0066 | Short Ratio 1.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 2.8398 |
Nouveau Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nouveau Monde Graphite on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.27.Nouveau Monde Graphite Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nouveau Monde's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nouveau. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nouveau can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nouveau Monde Graphite. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nouveau Monde's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nouveau Monde.
Nouveau Monde Implied Volatility | 1.08 |
Nouveau Monde's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nouveau Monde Graphite stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nouveau Monde's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nouveau Monde stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nouveau Monde's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nouveau Monde Graphite on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.27. Nouveau Monde after-hype prediction price | USD 2.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nouveau Monde to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Nouveau Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nouveau Monde's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nouveau Monde's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nouveau Monde stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nouveau Monde's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nouveau Monde's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nouveau Monde is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nouveau. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nouveau Monde Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nouveau price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nouveau using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nouveau charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nouveau Monde Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nouveau Monde Graphite on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nouveau Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nouveau Monde's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nouveau Monde Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nouveau Monde | Nouveau Monde Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nouveau Monde Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nouveau Monde's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nouveau Monde's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.40, respectively. We have considered Nouveau Monde's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nouveau Monde stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nouveau Monde stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4058 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0018 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1045 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0374 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.27 |
Predictive Modules for Nouveau Monde
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nouveau Monde Graphite. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nouveau Monde After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nouveau Monde at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nouveau Monde or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nouveau Monde, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nouveau Monde Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nouveau Monde's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nouveau Monde's historical news coverage. Nouveau Monde's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 7.13, respectively. We have considered Nouveau Monde's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nouveau Monde is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nouveau Monde Graphite is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nouveau Monde Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nouveau Monde is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nouveau Monde backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nouveau Monde, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 5.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.34 | 2.34 | 0.00 |
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Nouveau Monde Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Nouveau Monde Graphite is traded for 2.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nouveau is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nouveau Monde is about 21083.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.34. About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.67. Nouveau Monde Graphite had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 31st of March 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nouveau Monde to cross-verify your projections.Nouveau Monde Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nouveau Monde's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nouveau Monde's future price movements. Getting to know how Nouveau Monde's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nouveau Monde may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LZM | Lifezone Metals Limited | (0.18) | 7 per month | 3.53 | 0.04 | 7.99 | (5.63) | 16.60 | |
| ABAT | American Battery Technology | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.78 | (9.87) | 35.69 | |
| WRN | Western Copper and | 0.10 | 8 per month | 3.01 | 0.23 | 8.21 | (4.73) | 19.93 | |
| VHI | Valhi Inc | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.75 | (4.64) | 16.93 | |
| IONR | ioneer Ltd American | 0.21 | 2 per month | 4.49 | 0.04 | 8.75 | (7.02) | 19.58 | |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash | 0.36 | 11 per month | 2.41 | 0.09 | 6.05 | (3.94) | 12.27 | |
| EMX | EMX Royalty Corp | 0.07 | 9 per month | 3.32 | 0.09 | 6.54 | (5.45) | 14.90 | |
| ADUR | Aduro Clean Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.05 | 0.01 | 12.11 | (6.79) | 24.03 | |
| NEWP | New Pacific Metals | 0.36 | 8 per month | 3.45 | 0.20 | 11.08 | (6.84) | 24.59 | |
| DVS | Dolly Varden Silver | (0.28) | 8 per month | 3.27 | 0.10 | 8.09 | (5.98) | 22.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nouveau Monde
For every potential investor in Nouveau, whether a beginner or expert, Nouveau Monde's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nouveau Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nouveau. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nouveau Monde's price trends.Nouveau Monde Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nouveau Monde stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nouveau Monde could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nouveau Monde by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nouveau Monde Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nouveau Monde stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nouveau Monde shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nouveau Monde stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nouveau Monde Graphite entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nouveau Monde Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nouveau Monde's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nouveau Monde's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nouveau stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.3 | |||
| Variance | 28.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nouveau Monde
The number of cover stories for Nouveau Monde depends on current market conditions and Nouveau Monde's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nouveau Monde is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nouveau Monde's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nouveau Monde Short Properties
Nouveau Monde's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nouveau Monde's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nouveau Monde Graphite often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nouveau Monde's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nouveau Monde's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nouveau Monde to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Nouveau have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nouveau Monde. Anticipated expansion of Nouveau directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Nouveau Monde demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Nouveau Monde Graphite's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Nouveau's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Nouveau Monde's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Nouveau Monde's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nouveau Monde's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nouveau Monde should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Nouveau Monde's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.