Noah Holdings Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

NOAH Stock  USD 11.45  0.06  0.52%   
Noah Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Noah Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Noah Holdings' share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Noah Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Noah Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Noah Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Noah Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.6069
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.0571
Wall Street Target Price
13.6597
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.022
Using Noah Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Noah Holdings from the perspective of Noah Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Noah Holdings using Noah Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Noah using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Noah Holdings' stock price.

Noah Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  1.15  
Noah Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Noah Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Noah Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Noah Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Noah Holdings' options are near their expiration.

Noah Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Noah Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Noah contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Noah Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Noah Holdings trading at USD 11.45, that is roughly USD 0.00823 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Noah Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Noah Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Noah Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Noah Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Noah Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Noah Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Noah Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Noah Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Noah Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Noah. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Noah Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Noah price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Noah using various technical indicators. When you analyze Noah charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Noah Holdings has current Accumulation Distribution of 0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Noah Holdings is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Noah Holdings to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Noah Holdings trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Noah Holdings VolatilityBacktest Noah HoldingsInformation Ratio  

Noah Holdings Trading Date Momentum

On January 29 2026 Noah Holdings was traded for  11.45  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 11.45  and the lowest listed price was  11.45 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 29, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.52% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Noah Holdings to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Noah Holdings

For every potential investor in Noah, whether a beginner or expert, Noah Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Noah Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Noah. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Noah Holdings' price trends.

Noah Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Noah Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Noah Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Noah Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Noah Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Noah Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Noah Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Noah Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Noah Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Noah Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Noah Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Noah Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting noah stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Noah Holdings

The number of cover stories for Noah Holdings depends on current market conditions and Noah Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Noah Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Noah Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Noah Holdings Short Properties

Noah Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Noah Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Noah Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Noah Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Noah Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.1 B
When determining whether Noah Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Noah Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Noah Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Noah Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Noah Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is there potential for Asset Management & Custody Banks market expansion? Will Noah introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Noah Holdings. Anticipated expansion of Noah directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Noah Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Dividend Share
4.14
Earnings Share
1.14
Revenue Per Share
36.716
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.022
The market value of Noah Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Noah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Noah Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Noah Holdings' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Noah Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Noah Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Noah Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Noah Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Noah Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.