Northpointe Bancshares Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| NPB Stock | 17.78 0.09 0.51% |
Northpointe Bancshares's 8 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects Northpointe Bancshares at 17.67 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts Northpointe Bancshares at 17.67 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 26.36 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Northpointe Bancshares' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Northpointe Bancshares | Northpointe Bancshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Northpointe Bancshares defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The current forecast range spans downside near 15.80 and upside near 19.53. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Northpointe Bancshares stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.3928 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4974 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.028 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.3612 |
Other Forecasting Options for Northpointe Bancshares
Bollinger Bands applied to Northpointe Stock price data measure how far Northpointe has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Northpointe Bancshares' price data.Northpointe Bancshares Related Equities
These stocks within the Financials space are often compared to Northpointe Bancshares by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit. Peer pricing is more meaningful when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northpointe Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Northpointe Bancshares quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Northpointe Bancshares.
Northpointe Bancshares Risk Indicators
Analyzing Northpointe Bancshares' risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Northpointe Bancshares helps place recent price behavior in context.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Northpointe Bancshares Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Northpointe Bancshares matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.72 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 496.46 million |