Northpointe Bancshares Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| NPB Stock | 18.12 0.77 4.08% |
Northpointe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Northpointe Bancshares stock prices and determine the direction of Northpointe Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Northpointe Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Northpointe Bancshares' share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Northpointe Bancshares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.527 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.635 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7733 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.07 | Wall Street Target Price 21.1667 |
Using Northpointe Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northpointe Bancshares from the perspective of Northpointe Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Northpointe Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Northpointe Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.84.Northpointe Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Northpointe Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Northpointe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Northpointe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Northpointe Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Northpointe Bancshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Northpointe Bancshares.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Northpointe Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.84. Northpointe Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 18.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Northpointe Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northpointe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northpointe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northpointe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Northpointe Bancshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Northpointe Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northpointe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northpointe Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Northpointe Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Northpointe Bancshares | Northpointe Bancshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Northpointe Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Northpointe Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northpointe Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.43 and 20.13, respectively. We have considered Northpointe Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northpointe Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northpointe Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6159 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3908 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0228 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.8411 |
Predictive Modules for Northpointe Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northpointe Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Northpointe Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northpointe Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northpointe Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northpointe Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northpointe Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northpointe Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northpointe Bancshares' historical news coverage. Northpointe Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.25 and 19.95, respectively. We have considered Northpointe Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northpointe Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northpointe Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northpointe Bancshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northpointe Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northpointe Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northpointe Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.85 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.12 | 18.10 | 0.11 |
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Northpointe Bancshares Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Northpointe Bancshares is traded for 18.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Northpointe is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Northpointe Bancshares is about 474.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.19. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northpointe Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northpointe Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.Northpointe Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northpointe Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northpointe Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Northpointe Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northpointe Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALXO | Alx Oncology Holdings | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 12.82 | (9.41) | 27.69 | |
| BNR | Burning Rock Biotech | 1.39 | 9 per month | 6.52 | 0.24 | 24.38 | (12.04) | 50.29 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.16 | (7.32) | 24.93 | |
| CGEM | Cullinan Oncology LLC | (0.74) | 16 per month | 4.00 | 0.10 | 8.60 | (8.82) | 45.76 | |
| ERAS | Erasca Inc | 1.46 | 10 per month | 2.65 | 0.30 | 15.04 | (4.76) | 50.26 | |
| LEGN | Legend Biotech Corp | 0.74 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.83 | (6.84) | 19.65 | |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 4.56 | (4.21) | 10.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Northpointe Bancshares
For every potential investor in Northpointe, whether a beginner or expert, Northpointe Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northpointe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northpointe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northpointe Bancshares' price trends.Northpointe Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northpointe Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northpointe Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northpointe Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northpointe Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northpointe Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northpointe Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northpointe Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northpointe Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Northpointe Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Northpointe Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northpointe Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northpointe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Northpointe Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Northpointe Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Northpointe Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northpointe Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northpointe Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Northpointe Bancshares Short Properties
Northpointe Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Northpointe Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northpointe Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northpointe Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northpointe Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -11.6 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.1 | |
| Shares Float | 14.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northpointe Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Northpointe Stock refer to our How to Trade Northpointe Stock guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northpointe Bancshares. If investors know Northpointe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northpointe Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.527 | Earnings Share 2.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.551 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Northpointe Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northpointe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northpointe Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northpointe Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northpointe Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northpointe Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northpointe Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northpointe Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northpointe Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.