NSTS Bancorp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NSTS Stock | USD 12.58 0.05 0.40% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NSTS Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.61. NSTS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of NSTS Bancorp's stock price is slightly above 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling NSTS, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.146 |
Using NSTS Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NSTS Bancorp from the perspective of NSTS Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NSTS Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.61. NSTS Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 12.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NSTS Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. NSTS Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NSTS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NSTS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NSTS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NSTS Bancorp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NSTS Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NSTS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NSTS Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NSTS Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NSTS Bancorp | NSTS Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NSTS Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NSTS Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NSTS Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.37 and 13.79, respectively. We have considered NSTS Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NSTS Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NSTS Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.3915 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0411 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0934 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.605 |
Predictive Modules for NSTS Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSTS Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NSTS Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NSTS Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NSTS Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NSTS Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NSTS Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NSTS Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NSTS Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NSTS Bancorp's historical news coverage. NSTS Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.37 and 13.79, respectively. We have considered NSTS Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NSTS Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NSTS Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
NSTS Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NSTS Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NSTS Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NSTS Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.21 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.58 | 12.58 | 0.00 |
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NSTS Bancorp Hype Timeline
NSTS Bancorp is now traded for 12.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. NSTS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on NSTS Bancorp is about 699.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.62. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NSTS Bancorp recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NSTS Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.NSTS Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NSTS Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NSTS Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how NSTS Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NSTS Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BYFC | Broadway Financial | 0.38 | 6 per month | 2.46 | 0.03 | 3.99 | (3.68) | 25.87 | |
| FSEA | First Seacoast Bancorp | 0.30 | 4 per month | 2.01 | 0.03 | 4.23 | (3.38) | 25.19 | |
| CLST | Catalyst Bancorp | 0.19 | 26 per month | 0.66 | 0.13 | 1.90 | (1.08) | 7.82 | |
| CASH | Meta Financial Group | 0.30 | 8 per month | 1.09 | 0.05 | 2.96 | (1.75) | 5.74 | |
| ASRV | AmeriServ Financial | 0.30 | 16 per month | 1.85 | 0.03 | 2.92 | (3.13) | 8.63 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.05 | 7 per month | 3.09 | 0.09 | 6.73 | (3.72) | 21.76 | |
| OPHC | OptimumBank Holdings | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.76 | 0.13 | 2.19 | (1.99) | 8.83 | |
| PLUT | Plutus Financial Group | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.83 | (3.32) | 9.93 | |
| STLE | Stylesite Marketing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PBBK | PB Bankshares | 0.19 | 10 per month | 1.51 | (0.04) | 2.40 | (2.53) | 10.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for NSTS Bancorp
For every potential investor in NSTS, whether a beginner or expert, NSTS Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NSTS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NSTS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NSTS Bancorp's price trends.NSTS Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NSTS Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NSTS Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NSTS Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NSTS Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NSTS Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NSTS Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NSTS Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NSTS Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.71 |
NSTS Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of NSTS Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NSTS Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nsts stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8222 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6806 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9324 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4632 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NSTS Bancorp
The number of cover stories for NSTS Bancorp depends on current market conditions and NSTS Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NSTS Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NSTS Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NSTS Bancorp Short Properties
NSTS Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when NSTS Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NSTS Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NSTS Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NSTS Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56 M |
Additional Tools for NSTS Stock Analysis
When running NSTS Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure NSTS Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NSTS Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of NSTS Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NSTS Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NSTS Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NSTS Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.