Optimumbank Holdings Stock Price Prediction

OPHC Stock  USD 4.92  0.04  0.81%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of OptimumBank Holdings' share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OptimumBank Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OptimumBank Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OptimumBank Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OptimumBank Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.828
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.16
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6
Wall Street Target Price
5.25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.807
Using OptimumBank Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OptimumBank Holdings from the perspective of OptimumBank Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OptimumBank Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OptimumBank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

OptimumBank Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out OptimumBank Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade OptimumBank Stock refer to our How to Trade OptimumBank Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.664.716.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.075.127.17
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.785.255.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.694.925.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OptimumBank Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OptimumBank Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OptimumBank Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OptimumBank Holdings.

OptimumBank Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OptimumBank Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OptimumBank Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OptimumBank Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OptimumBank Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OptimumBank Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OptimumBank Holdings' historical news coverage. OptimumBank Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.88 and 6.98, respectively. We have considered OptimumBank Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.92
4.93
After-hype Price
6.98
Upside
OptimumBank Holdings is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OptimumBank Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

OptimumBank Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OptimumBank Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OptimumBank Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OptimumBank Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
2.05
  0.01 
  0.01 
4 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.92
4.93
0.20 
2,562  
Notes

OptimumBank Holdings Hype Timeline

OptimumBank Holdings is now traded for 4.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. OptimumBank is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on OptimumBank Holdings is about 2013.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.93. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 35.78 M. Net Income was 6.28 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.33 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out OptimumBank Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade OptimumBank Stock refer to our How to Trade OptimumBank Stock guide.

OptimumBank Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OptimumBank Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OptimumBank Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OptimumBank Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OptimumBank Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNBBCnb Community Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.58 (4.07) 11.99 
FBAKFirst National Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.72  0.09  2.50 (2.53) 11.46 
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp 0.54 7 per month 1.30  0.04  2.73 (2.26) 17.64 
INTRInter Co Class(0.01)4 per month 0.00 (0.25) 3.90 (5.38) 17.47 
RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp 0.08 6 per month 0.85  0.10  4.15 (1.79) 9.98 
PLBCPlumas Bancorp 0.55 6 per month 1.99  0.08  4.28 (4.06) 10.80 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.49 6 per month 0.83  0.04  2.57 (1.90) 12.55 
BWFGBankwell Financial Group 0.27 7 per month 1.76  0.04  3.38 (2.42) 17.30 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)8 per month 1.14  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
CCFCCCSB Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.82 (2.55) 7.12 
DWNXDelhi Bank Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.53) 0.49 (0.49) 1.47 
BKUTBank of Utica 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.20  2.74  0.00  4.44 
FMFPFirst Community Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.00 (3.76) 14.87 
FCCTFirst Community 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.86) 0.00  0.00  1.67 
SRNNSouthern Banc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.35  0.00  4.97 
BCOW1895 of Wisconsin 0.1 3 per month 0.41  0.09  2.76 (1.19) 6.12 
CCNECNB Financial 0.30 10 per month 1.53  0.07  3.47 (1.91) 18.46 
AOZOFAozora Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  42.84 
AGRPFAbsa Group Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00  0.00  5.05 
AIBRFAIB Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.38 (0.04) 3.75 (2.81) 11.01 
BBAJFBanco del Bajo 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 6.79 (9.84) 25.58 
AOZOYAozora Bank Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.00  0.00  9.92 

OptimumBank Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OptimumBank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OptimumBank using various technical indicators. When you analyze OptimumBank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About OptimumBank Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of OptimumBank Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OptimumBank Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OptimumBank Holdings based on analysis of OptimumBank Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OptimumBank Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OptimumBank Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield1.15E-46.8E-5
Price To Sales Ratio0.850.8

Story Coverage note for OptimumBank Holdings

The number of cover stories for OptimumBank Holdings depends on current market conditions and OptimumBank Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OptimumBank Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OptimumBank Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

OptimumBank Holdings Short Properties

OptimumBank Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when OptimumBank Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OptimumBank Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OptimumBank Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OptimumBank Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.7 M

Complementary Tools for OptimumBank Stock analysis

When running OptimumBank Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OptimumBank Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OptimumBank Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OptimumBank Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OptimumBank Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OptimumBank Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OptimumBank Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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