Nukkleus Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NUKK Stock | USD 2.40 0.12 4.76% |
Nukkleus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Nukkleus' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nukkleus' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nukkleus fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength indicator of Nukkleus' share price is approaching 32. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nukkleus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.95) |
Using Nukkleus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nukkleus from the perspective of Nukkleus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Nukkleus Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nukkleus on the next trading day is expected to be 2.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.70.Nukkleus Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nukkleus' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nukkleus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nukkleus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nukkleus. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nukkleus' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nukkleus.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nukkleus on the next trading day is expected to be 2.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.70. Nukkleus after-hype prediction price | USD 2.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nukkleus to cross-verify your projections. Nukkleus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nukkleus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nukkleus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nukkleus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nukkleus Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nukkleus on the next trading day is expected to be 2.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nukkleus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nukkleus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nukkleus Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nukkleus | Nukkleus Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nukkleus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nukkleus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nukkleus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 10.37, respectively. We have considered Nukkleus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nukkleus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nukkleus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8798 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1171 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3508 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0721 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.7 |
Predictive Modules for Nukkleus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nukkleus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nukkleus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nukkleus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nukkleus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nukkleus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nukkleus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nukkleus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nukkleus' historical news coverage. Nukkleus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 9.99, respectively. We have considered Nukkleus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nukkleus is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nukkleus is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nukkleus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nukkleus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nukkleus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nukkleus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.41 | 7.91 | 0.01 | 0.27 | 16 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.40 | 2.08 | 17.55 |
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Nukkleus Hype Timeline
Nukkleus is now traded for 2.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Nukkleus is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -17.55%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.41%. The volatility of related hype on Nukkleus is about 4077.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.13. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nukkleus recorded a loss per share of 4.93. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:8 split on the 24th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 16 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nukkleus to cross-verify your projections.Nukkleus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nukkleus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nukkleus' future price movements. Getting to know how Nukkleus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nukkleus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NXTT | Next Technology Holding | 0.08 | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 17.13 | (15.00) | 47.42 | |
| SURG | Surgepays | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.49 | (12.35) | 52.00 | |
| MKTW | Marketwise | (0.06) | 14 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 4.01 | (2.84) | 23.45 | |
| PHUN | Phunware | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.24 | (5.94) | 13.16 | |
| AWRE | Aware Inc | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.10 | (5.95) | 14.94 | |
| NTWK | NetSol Technologies | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.95 | (4.71) | 29.39 | |
| UPLD | Upland Software | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.23 | (5.42) | 11.78 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.31 | (6.85) | 25.36 | |
| VBIX | Viewbix Common Stock | 0.03 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.76 | (7.00) | 53.07 | |
| KPLT | Katapult Holdings | (2.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.94 | (9.54) | 39.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nukkleus
For every potential investor in Nukkleus, whether a beginner or expert, Nukkleus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nukkleus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nukkleus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nukkleus' price trends.Nukkleus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nukkleus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nukkleus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nukkleus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nukkleus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nukkleus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nukkleus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nukkleus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nukkleus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 32.27 |
Nukkleus Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nukkleus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nukkleus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nukkleus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.77 | |||
| Variance | 60.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nukkleus
The number of cover stories for Nukkleus depends on current market conditions and Nukkleus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nukkleus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nukkleus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nukkleus Short Properties
Nukkleus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nukkleus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nukkleus often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nukkleus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nukkleus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 619 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nukkleus to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Nukkleus Stock please use our How to buy in Nukkleus Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nukkleus. If investors know Nukkleus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nukkleus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.93) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.95) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Nukkleus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nukkleus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nukkleus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nukkleus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nukkleus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nukkleus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nukkleus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nukkleus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nukkleus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.