Natwest Group Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

NWG Stock  USD 18.82  0.59  3.24%   
Natwest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Natwest Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Natwest Group's stock price is roughly 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 3rd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Natwest, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Natwest Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Natwest Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Natwest Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Natwest Group PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Natwest Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.4
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3457
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.7559
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.8932
Wall Street Target Price
17.225
Using Natwest Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natwest Group PLC from the perspective of Natwest Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Natwest Group using Natwest Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Natwest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Natwest Group's stock price.

Natwest Group Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Natwest Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Natwest. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Natwest Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
14.8776
Short Percent
0.0004
Short Ratio
0.74
Shares Short Prior Month
1.1 M
50 Day MA
17.0566

Natwest Relative Strength Index

Natwest Group PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Natwest Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Natwest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Natwest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Natwest Group PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Natwest Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Natwest Group.

Natwest Group Implied Volatility

    
  0.94  
Natwest Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natwest Group PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natwest Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natwest Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natwest Group's options are near their expiration.

Natwest Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natwest Group to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Natwest contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Natwest Group PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Natwest Group trading at USD 18.82, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Natwest Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Natwest Group PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Natwest Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Natwest Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Natwest Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Natwest Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Natwest Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Natwest Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Natwest Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Natwest. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Natwest Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Natwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Natwest Group PLC has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0313. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Natwest Group is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Natwest Group PLC to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Natwest Group trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Natwest Group VolatilityBacktest Natwest GroupInformation Ratio  

Natwest Group Trading Date Momentum

On February 03 2026 Natwest Group PLC was traded for  18.82  at the closing time. Highest Natwest Group's price during the trading hours was 18.82  and the lowest price during the day was  18.23 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 3rd of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 3.13% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Natwest Group to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Natwest Group

For every potential investor in Natwest, whether a beginner or expert, Natwest Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natwest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natwest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natwest Group's price trends.

Natwest Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natwest Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natwest Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natwest Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Natwest Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Natwest Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Natwest Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Natwest Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Natwest Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Natwest Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Natwest Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natwest Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting natwest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Natwest Group

The number of cover stories for Natwest Group depends on current market conditions and Natwest Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natwest Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natwest Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Natwest Group Short Properties

Natwest Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Natwest Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Natwest Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Natwest Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natwest Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments93.1 B
When determining whether Natwest Group PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Natwest Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Natwest Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Natwest Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natwest Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Can Diversified Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Natwest have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natwest Group. Anticipated expansion of Natwest directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Natwest Group demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.4
Dividend Share
0.19
Earnings Share
1.78
Revenue Per Share
3.842
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.194
Investors evaluate Natwest Group PLC using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Natwest Group's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Natwest Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Natwest Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natwest Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Natwest Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.