Natwest Group Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| NWG Stock | USD 16.74 0.67 4.17% |
Natwest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Natwest Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Natwest Group's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.4 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3457 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.789 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9289 | Wall Street Target Price 17.225 |
Using Natwest Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natwest Group PLC from the perspective of Natwest Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Natwest Group using Natwest Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Natwest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Natwest Group's stock price.
Natwest Group Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Natwest Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Natwest. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Natwest Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.0936 | Short Percent 0.0002 | Short Ratio 0.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 17.4124 |
Natwest Relative Strength Index
Natwest Group PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Natwest Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Natwest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Natwest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Natwest Group PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Natwest Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Natwest Group.
Natwest Group Implied Volatility | 0.78 |
Natwest Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natwest Group PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natwest Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natwest Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natwest Group's options are near their expiration.
Natwest Group after-hype prediction price | USD 16.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natwest Group to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Natwest contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Natwest Group PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Natwest Group trading at USD 16.74, that is roughly USD 0.008161 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Natwest Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Natwest Group PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Natwest Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Natwest Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Natwest Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Natwest Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Natwest Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Natwest Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Natwest Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Natwest. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Natwest Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Natwest Group Volatility | Backtest Natwest Group | Information Ratio |
Natwest Group Trading Date Momentum
| On February 17 2026 Natwest Group PLC was traded for 16.74 at the closing time. Highest Natwest Group's price during the trading hours was 16.82 and the lowest price during the day was 16.31 . The net volume was 5.2 M. The overall trading history on the 17th of February 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 2.33% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Natwest Group to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Natwest Group
For every potential investor in Natwest, whether a beginner or expert, Natwest Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natwest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natwest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natwest Group's price trends.Natwest Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natwest Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natwest Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natwest Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Natwest Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Natwest Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Natwest Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Natwest Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Natwest Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 158881.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.313725 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.56 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.51 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.67 |
Natwest Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Natwest Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natwest Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting natwest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Natwest Group
The number of cover stories for Natwest Group depends on current market conditions and Natwest Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natwest Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natwest Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natwest Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Can Diversified Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Natwest have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natwest Group. Anticipated expansion of Natwest directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Natwest Group demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.4 | Dividend Share 0.19 | Earnings Share 1.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.194 |
Investors evaluate Natwest Group PLC using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Natwest Group's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Natwest Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Natwest Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natwest Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Natwest Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.