Northwest Pipe Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NWPX Stock  USD 69.11  0.16  0.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northwest Pipe on the next trading day is expected to be 74.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.00. Northwest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Northwest Pipe's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Northwest Pipe's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Northwest Pipe, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Northwest Pipe's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.353
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.7667
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.2933
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.8233
Wall Street Target Price
64
Using Northwest Pipe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northwest Pipe from the perspective of Northwest Pipe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Northwest Pipe using Northwest Pipe's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Northwest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Northwest Pipe's stock price.

Northwest Pipe Short Interest

An investor who is long Northwest Pipe may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Northwest Pipe and may potentially protect profits, hedge Northwest Pipe with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
49.6157
Short Percent
0.0116
Short Ratio
1.53
Shares Short Prior Month
127.5 K
50 Day MA
61.3404

Northwest Pipe Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Northwest Pipe's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Northwest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Northwest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Northwest Pipe. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Northwest Pipe's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Northwest Pipe.

Northwest Pipe Implied Volatility

    
  0.65  
Northwest Pipe's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northwest Pipe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northwest Pipe's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northwest Pipe stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northwest Pipe's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northwest Pipe on the next trading day is expected to be 74.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.00.

Northwest Pipe after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 69.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northwest Pipe to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Northwest Stock please use our How to Invest in Northwest Pipe guide.At this time, Northwest Pipe's Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 2.77 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 4.04 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 37.6 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 9 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Northwest Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Northwest Pipe's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Northwest Pipe's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Northwest Pipe stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Northwest Pipe's open interest, investors have to compare it to Northwest Pipe's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Northwest Pipe is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Northwest. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Northwest Pipe Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Northwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Northwest Pipe's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-12-31
Previous Quarter
M
Current Value
2.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
9.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Northwest Pipe is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Northwest Pipe value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Northwest Pipe Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northwest Pipe on the next trading day is expected to be 74.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northwest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northwest Pipe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Northwest Pipe Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Northwest PipeNorthwest Pipe Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Northwest Pipe Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Northwest Pipe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northwest Pipe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.23 and 75.98, respectively. We have considered Northwest Pipe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.11
74.11
Expected Value
75.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northwest Pipe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northwest Pipe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.8853
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1312
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors69.0035
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Northwest Pipe. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Northwest Pipe. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Northwest Pipe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northwest Pipe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.2169.0870.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.6770.5472.41
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.2464.0071.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.810.961.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Northwest Pipe

For every potential investor in Northwest, whether a beginner or expert, Northwest Pipe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northwest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northwest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northwest Pipe's price trends.

Northwest Pipe Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northwest Pipe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northwest Pipe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northwest Pipe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Northwest Pipe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Northwest Pipe's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Northwest Pipe's current price.

Northwest Pipe Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northwest Pipe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northwest Pipe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northwest Pipe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northwest Pipe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Northwest Pipe Risk Indicators

The analysis of Northwest Pipe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northwest Pipe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northwest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Northwest Stock Analysis

When running Northwest Pipe's price analysis, check to measure Northwest Pipe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Pipe is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Pipe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Pipe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Pipe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Pipe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.